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The Asset Economy

March 12, 2023
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Okay today we're going to introduce a  new concept that is going to help you  

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understand the economy of today and the economy  of the future, it is called 'The Asset Economy'

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all right so one of the biggest changes in the  economy in the last 20-30 years has been an  

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enormous increase in asset prices that is most  visible in house prices but it's important to  

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understand that it's actually happened in pretty  much all assets; there's been a massive increase  

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in stock prices, there's been a massive increase  in land prices, there's been a massive increase  

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in the gold price and while I'm filming this in  London there's been a lot of focus in the UK on  

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London; it's important to realise that increase has  been pretty much International we've seen a big  

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increase in house prices and stock prices all over Europe, the U.S, all over the Western World  

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now this is what I call 'the Asset Economy' the reason I call it this is because asset prices have increased  

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enormously in the last 30 years and wages have  only increased a bit we have moved into a new kind  

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of economy where increasingly the work that you  do is not really that important for determining  

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how rich you are, increasingly the only thing that  matters is how many assets your family has  

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I think the best way to explain this is probably through giving an example so if you are living  

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here in London and you make £70-80,000 so you know 2-3 times average income so you've got a   

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really good job, a really good wage, increasingly it is  almost impossible to buy property without being  

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able to get some significant help from your family  unless you can get a big cash gift from your  

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parents or at the very least have a long period of  staying with your parents and not having to pay rent  

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on the flip side if you are from a very wealthy  family what you will see is even if you have  

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a pretty average paying job £20-30,000 a lot of people from those kinds of families can quite  

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easily buy property because they can get big gifts;  half a million pounds, £600,000 from their family  

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so what that means is increasingly we're in a situation where basically for determining how  

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rich you are the kind of job you have the kind of  degree you have increasingly doesn't really matter  

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all that really happens all that really matters  is how many assets your family has so we're  

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moving away from an economy where your financial  outcomes for you as an individual for your family  

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were primarily determined by your job and your  salary and we've moved towards an economy where  

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the financial outcomes for individuals are  increasingly overwhelmingly determined by  

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the amount of assets a family has now in other  videos I've referred to this concept as the end  

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of capitalism what I mean when I say that was my  parents and my grandparents they lived in a world  

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where really regardless of your background if you  are willing and able to work really hard you could  

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save up some money buy a house if you're willing  to work really really hard you can even get rich  

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increasingly for my generation and for future  generations, that will be impossible, so we've  

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moved away from this kind of capitalistic idea  of meritocracy, work hard get rich, we're moving  

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towards really an economy which is primarily about inherited wealth I've called this 'a New Feudalism'  

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we're moving into an economy which is an asset economy you can only be rich if you are born rich 

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if you are born poor you will definitely die poor, now in my opinion this is the biggest 

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economic trend of the last 20-30 years it's going to continue so if you want to

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understand the economy of today and the future you need to understand the asset economy

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next step; how did we get here? how did we move into an asset economy?

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now this is actually what I wrote my thesis on this when I was at Oxford this is actually

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the thing I've looked at most of my time as an  economist so it's something I'm really interested in,

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I'm really happy to be able to explain it the reason that we've moved into an asset

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economy is because of the massive increase in wealth inequality in the last Thirty years

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this has happened for a few different reasons the three main reasons I would point out is

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number one: massive decreases in the effective tax rates of the very rich in the 80's 

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under the Thatcher government here in the UK and the Reagan government in the 80's (*U.S.)

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(No.2*) the increased integration between Western  economies like UK, Europe, US and much more  

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unequal economies like India or particularly China  and thirdly the mismanagement of massive crises  

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like the 2008 crisis and the covid crisis in such  a way that they led to massive increases in wealth  

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for the very rich and that's something I've  talked about a lot on this channel so once you  

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have a massive increase in the wealth of the very  rich what that means is you get a very rich class  

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that has a huge amount of assets and they have  huge amounts of passive income so we always

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use as our example Rishi Sunak; he's worth about £700million to £800 million, he will generate a 

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passive income every year of something like £20-30 million, very rich people with big passive  

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incomes they tend to use the vast majority of  those incomes to buy the rest of the assets  

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what that means is all of this money trying  to buy assets, it pushes asset prices up  

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those super rich buy the assets of the middle  class which makes them even richer which   

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pushes asset prices up even more so because of the dynamics of this, once the rich get very 

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rich they buy more assets which makes them  richer, which means they buy more assets still  

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what you get is a spiralling nature so the rich will  get richer and over time the middle class will  

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increasingly lose their assets which means asset  price will go up and up and up, wage will go down  

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and down if you want to know more about this you  can watch our video how wealth inequality affects  

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the economy but the primary thing you need  to understand is once the rich get very rich  

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asset prices go up, ordinary families lose their  wealth and this gets worse and worse over time  

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so understanding the asset economy will help you  predict the future because the asset economy is  

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going to be more and more what the future looks  like part three what does the asset economy mean  

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for you for your family so I think the number one  consequence of an asset economy is that upward  

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social mobility becomes almost impossible and the  reason for that is quite obvious right because  

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as asset prices go up and up and up and up and up much faster than your wages it simply becomes  

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impossible to buy assets with your wages and  that means that unless you already have assets  

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you can't get assets now when I say social  mobility is impossible what I mean is it's  

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basically impossible to move upwards in class so  if you look at a very small scale if you consider  

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two people from very poor families if one of them  gets a 30 grand a year job and one of them gets a  

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60 grand a year job that person with a much higher  salary will be able to live a more comfortable life 

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but it will not be enough to be able to buy assets and move up into a permanently higher  

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asset owning position for them and their family in the long run so if we only look at  

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ourselves and people in a very similar situation  to us it looks like a meritocracy but once you  

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start looking at yourself and people born with  higher wealth you realise it becomes impossible  

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to move up so upward social mobility basically  ceases to exist and you're already seeing this  

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massively now when I look at the people around  me in my life almost everybody my age is pretty  

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much the exact same position in the financial  hierarchy as their parents were and that is  

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because the most important thing that matters is what assets you inherit from your parents  

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the other side is okay if upwards social mobility is impossible what about downward social mobility  

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well what happens when you have an asset  economy is that asset prices go up and up and  

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up and up, we still do have a decently sized property owning middle class in this country 

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country it's largely older people and these  older people find themselves in a situation  

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where there is a massive financial incentive  for them to sell their assets because they're  

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sitting on a house that might be worth 500 600  grand, living is becoming more difficult so if  

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they sell that property they can have a much  more comfortable retirement they can they can  

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it looks like they can support their family in  their living conditions now this reminds me of  

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um a bible story that I was taught when I was  a young kid um about a guy called Esau who um  

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he was a very strong guy who was a hunter he was  the eldest son of his family and he was about to  

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get his inheritance; one day he came home very  very hungry really starving and his younger brother  

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I'm not sure his name Jacob maybe said to him listen I'll give you this food if you let me  

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take your inheritance and the guy was super  hungry so he gave it away and then you know in  

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in trade for being able to enjoy the moment he  lost his basically families wealth from from his  

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side of the family and this is the situation that  older people are finding themselves in now they  

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are seeing prices go up but at the same time their  house prices going up and they're thinking well  

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that's okay I'm making loads of money on the house  if I sell the house I can live a comfortable life  

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they of course grew up not in the asset economy but in a workers economy and they think well  

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it's okay because my kids will be able to  work hard and buy properties of their own  

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in reality because we are in an asset economy  now when the older generation of the middle  

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class sell their property their kids and their  grandkids will never be able to buy property  

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again so what you see is as the richer get  richer and richer and richer more and more  

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of the middle class start to drop away as they  sell their assets to the rich and ultimately  

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inevitably if the rich are buying assets they must be getting them from somewhere and  

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this is because people in the middle class are  dropping off so the way it affects you is that  

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we are moving into a world where if your family  has no assets they will never have assets  

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which means upper social mobility is becoming  impossible but increasingly as the rich get  

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richer and richer they take the assets of the  middle class which means inevitably my grandkids  

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and your grandkids (unless you are Rishi Sunak) I don't know if you watch my videos  

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your grandkids will be poor so next we're going to  talk about how this looks from the perspective of  

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the old and the perspective of the young because  I think it looks very very different from both of  

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those perspectives now older people who in many  cases own property they often look at the asset  

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economy and they see their house price going up  and up and up and they think happy days you know  

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I'm really rich well done me for being so smart to  buy property I'm doing really really well um and  

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I use that money to to pay for their retirement  and they sell the property and they they live a  

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good life um and they think it's going to be okay  because they read stories in the newspaper saying  

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listen don't worry as long as your kids pull their  socks up and stop buying avocado toast and stop  

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going to Starbucks things will be fine um I think  it's really important for older people any older  

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people watching these videos any other people  in your life that you explain to them listen  

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if you sell that property which is the only way  you can actually enjoy the increase in house price  

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your kids and grandkids will never own property  that is what the asset economy is if you take a  

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long-term look at history you'll see for most of  history people born poor cannot ever buy assets  

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or property if you sell your property now as  we move back into asset economy your family  

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will be poor forever so older people who might  be happy at seeing house prices going up please  

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consider the consequence of this is poverty for your for your family for the rest of time  

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okay so how does it look from the perspective  of the young now this is something that I  

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really want to talk about because I think  it's really important now we still live  

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with this kind of age this idea in our  society that we live in a meritocracy  

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you know we we believe that if you work hard if  you save up if you study hard you can get rich  

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in reality as we move into the asset economy it  is increasingly difficult approaching impossible  

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for anybody born in a poor family to ever  become truly rich in the sense of owning assets  

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I think this creates a very very difficult  situation for the mental health of young people  

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we're telling young people listen if you don't  make money it's because you're lazy or because  

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you're dumb if you can't get rich it's because  you're lazy it's because you're dumb and we're  

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giving them a situation where if they're born into  the wrong family it is impossible for them to get  

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rich and why is it impossible for them to get rich  well the reason is like we've said before even if  

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you're earning a good salary imagine you're  earning 80 grand you have to pay tax on all  

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of your salary at the top end you're paying above  50% when you include National Insurance you save  

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up as much as you can after tax and you're able  to save maybe 10-15 grand a year when you go to  

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buy a property you are competing with young kids from richer families who are getting  

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gifts from their parents of 400,500,600 grand cash  that is the equivalent of you saving your after  

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tax income for 50 years even if you are on two or  three times the national average so we are telling  

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young people if you fail it's your fault and we  are making it impossible for them to succeed and  

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I think this is creating in many cases a mental  health crisis for young people so I want to send  

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the message out here to young people especially on  people from poor or ordinary backgrounds okay if  

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you are feeling like you are poor and other people  around you are rich that is not your fault you  

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have been given a system where it is impossible  for people born into poor families to get rich  

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so if you're not happy about that you need to come  and help us change the system you know that is  

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what this channel is here for if the system as it  is continues people from poor families will never  

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be able to escape poverty this is not your fault  this is a system that makes it impossible for you  

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support us and help us change that system now  the very last point which is something I think  

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that is super super interesting which is in the  asset economy for very sensible understandable  

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reasons people and families become very very  protective of their assets and that is because  

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if you are a family in an asset economy with no  assets your whole family your descendants forever  

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are consigned to definite poverty so obviously  you want to protect your assets as much as you can  

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because you know if you lose those assets then  your family is going to be devastated forever  

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and what that leads to is actually people  doing things which are actually very counter  

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their interests for example many people  because they are very protective of their  

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own assets will for example oppose things like  a wealth tax which we support on this channel  

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and once you understand the asset economy you can  totally understand why they're doing that they're  

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sitting there thinking oh my god if I lose these  assets then my family is going to be devastated  

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so I absolutely have to protect these assets  and in so doing they oppose increasing taxation  

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on the richest and remember that the wealth of the  richest is growing and growing and growing and if  

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you don't do anything about that it is inevitable  that they will out-compete the middle class for  

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assets in the long term it's a little bit like  if we're sitting here in this room and there's  

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a there's a massive balloon that is growing and  growing and growing at an accelerating rate and  

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it's starting to squash us all we're taking up  all the oxygen in the room and we're sitting  

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here with a little balloon in our pocket saying  we can't do anything that will hurt balloons  

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you see if you don't do anything about this  massively spiraling growing wealth of the  

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very rich remember just Rishi Sunak alone gets  a passive income of 40 million pounds they will  

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inevitably take all the assets in the long term  that means we will lose our middle class and  

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we will end up as a country which which is  filled with poverty the only way to protect  

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the middle class is to keep the wealth of this  country flowing through the country generation  

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after generation if you allow the rich to slowly  accumulate and grow and take all of the wealth  

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it is inevitable that ordinary families will lose  theirs in the long term but at the same time I'm  

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very understanding of why people want to protect  their wealth and that is why on this channel we  

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always make it very clear look we're not trying  to tax ordinary working people even if you might  

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be a doctor a lawyer or heaven forbid a banker  we are out here trying to tax very very wealthy  

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families with wealth of 10 100 a billion pounds  super super wealthy families these are the guys  

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who if you don't tax them their wealth will grow  and grow and over the long run they will end up  

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taking the wealth of the middle class so if you  allow the super rich to grow their wealth forever  

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unless you already are super rich you will lose  your wealth in the long run and your kids will be  

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poor the only way to protect working people in  this country including asset owners is to keep  

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wealth flowing around so listen I would encourage  you even if you do have wealth of your own you need  

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to support greater taxation of the rich and the  super rich if you do not then they will take  

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your wealth the only way to protect your wealth  is to stop the super wealthy from taking it and  

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if you allow them to accumulate more and more  wealth without paying any tax it is inevitable  

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that they will do that so I hope you enjoyed this  video the asset economy this is a theory which I  

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have used to help me understand the economy  for a long time I've made a lot of money of it  

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I think most economists don't understand  it if you understand it I think you have a  

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really good understanding what's happening most  important thing to understand it will get worse  

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asset prices will go up the rich will get richer  the middle class will become dispossessed and and  

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that includes you you know so I would encourage  you whether you are from a poorer background or  

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whether you are from a middle class background  support this channel get behind us support us  

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follow us and everything we've got what have we  got now TikTok, Facebook, Instagram, YouTube  

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of course, do you have anything else? yeah follow  it share this video because if we don't stop  

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this the situation gets worse I don't want it to  happen hopefully you don't want it to happen  

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if you are Rishi & you're watching these videos thank you for your support otherwise we need to  

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stop it, because its the only way to support  our futures and our families, thank you

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money currently is Flowing from the  government to the rich leaving the  

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government with big powers of debt and the rich  with big parts of money there's one other thing  

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they can do with that mass amount of  income they can buy your mom's house

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