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Rising Interest Rates & The Bank of England

June 05, 2022
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When the Bank of England raises interest  rates they're trying to fix inflation and  

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i think inflation will come down we'll  talk about that a bit more in a moment  

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they're trying to fix inflation but they're  doing nothing to fix the inequality which is  

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a fundamental problem i think this is a little  bit the problem with the way economists think

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so the Bank of England is raising interest rates a lot of people are worried about this what  

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it means. So i'm gonna do a quick explainer  on what's going on. So the Bank of England  

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is raising interest rates to deal with inflation i  think the most interesting point to realise here  

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is there's a real asymmetry between the causes of  the inflation and the attempt to fix the inflation  

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okay so i've talked about it a lot on this channel  so people will know, the government essentially  

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gave out £450 billion pounds of cash during Covid  which is a truly truly enormous amount of money  

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the way that worked at the time is the government  borrowed it from the Bank of England and then they  

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gave it out um and the Bank of England pays  interest on this money so as i've said a lot  

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it's very important to understand who got this  money okay, it's explained very clearly on the  

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very first video on this channel "why Covid-19 is  making the rich richer" that that money was largely  

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accumulated by richer people okay so during Covid  the government essentially printed and gave out an  

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enormous amount of money that ended up with  the rich and they pay interest on the rich  

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on the money to the rich so an enormous increase  in inequality um it was pretty much inevitable  

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that this would always cause inflation because  just simply because of the enormous size of it

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it's important to understand that it also causes a permanent cash flow from the government  

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to the rich because the rich have this £450 billion  now and the government pays interest on the  

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money it's actually the Bank of England that pays  the interest but the Bank of England is owned by  

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the government so financially it's coming from the  government okay um so during Covid the government  

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gave a huge amount of money out that has  been inevitably inflationary, if the government  

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wanted to deal with that inflation the sensible  thing to do which is exactly what i suggested  

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in the first video on this channel is i need to  take the money back which is basically taxation  

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um but that's not what they're doing what actually  is happening is that the central bank is raising  

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the interest rate and remember the interest  rate is the cash flow that the government pays  

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to the rich who have the money so if you  look at what's happening here in both  

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instances it's really bad for the government which  is the taxpayer and really good for the rich right  

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during Covid they gave the rich a ton of money and  now after Covid they're increasing the interest  

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rate that they paid to the rich on that money so  first the rich got a ton of money and now the rich  

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are going to get even more money every year from  the government so from an inequality perspective  

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and anyone who watches the channel regularly will  know, inequality is basically a cancer killing  

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our economy what's happening is is basically  terrible right huge amount of money was given  

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and now more money will be given every year and  that money will come from the government but also  

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from anyone who is in debt which is basically if  you have a mortgage if you have a large mortgage  

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as i explained in our video what is wealth  that mortgage is owned largely by richer  

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people you pay interest to the rich on your  mortgage and that interest will go up you'll  

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pay more interest to the rich so when the Bank  of England raises interest rates they're trying  

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to fix inflation and i think inflation will come  down we'll talk about that a bit more in a moment  

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they're trying to fix inflation but they're  doing nothing to fix the inequality which  

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is a fundamental problem and i think this is a  little bit the problem with the way economists  

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think they see the inflation but economists  have a massive blind spot for inequality  

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which nothing could be illustrating more than  the way nobody's speaking about it right now  

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and they're dealing with the inflation  but they're not dealing with inequality  

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so inflation will come down i'm very confident  inflation will renormalise it might take a year  

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or so inflation will come down but inequality will  not come down and what that means is inequality  

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will be left permanently higher which will mean  that ordinary people's standard of living will  

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be left permanently lower and rich people's  standard living will be left permanently higher  

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so inflation will come down but these  changes in relative price levels  

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mainly that energy prices and food prices and  things like rent have become permanent and also  

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house prices have become permanently significantly  higher relative to wages they will remain  

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so the central bank will succeed in its target of  reducing inflation but it will not succeed in re

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re-normalising your living standards to what  they were before Covid, living standards will  

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be permanently worse now just like they were  realistically after 2008 for ordinary people  

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living standards will be permanently worse in this  country and and they will continue to deteriorate  

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so how do you stop that well the way you stop that  is to reverse the damage that you did during Covid  

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during Covid £450 billion pounds which is £10,000  pounds per adult was transferred from the  

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government to the rich explained in our first  video that's enormous it increases inequality  

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enormously um you need to fix that and the  way to fix that is by taking money back from  

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the rich which is taxation and that would be a  symmetrical way of solving the problem you give  

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money to the rich you want to fix it you take  money back from the rich what we did is we give  

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money to the rich and then we give the rich more  money to raising inflation right through raising  

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the interest rate right um so the central bank  will they'll fix the inflation but they won't fix  

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inequality and the way to fix inequality would  be to raise taxes but the central bank doesn't  

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control taxation right taxation is in the realm  of the government, the central bank only controls  

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monetary policy which is things like interest  rates the central bank can't tax the rich okay  

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so that should be when the government tax  the rich well is the government taxing the rich  

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i don't think i need really to comment on  that you know the chancellor-in-law's father  

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is one of the richest billionaires in the world  so the chancellor's father-in-law one of the  

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richest billionaires in the world doesn't seem to  be showing any inclination to taxing the rich those  

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things might be connected they might not not  for me to say um these guys are not seriously  

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talking about taxes in the rich which means they  probably won't get fixed so inflation will come  

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back down but living standards will continue to  decrease and decrease and decrease and decrease  

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um so then is the Bank of England at fault because  they don't control taxation policy well it's not  

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their fault that tax are not being raised but what  is their fault is there's a lot of very well paid  

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economists at the Bank of England whose job is to  protect the economy of this country okay we know  

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now that £450 billion pounds which is a truly  enormous sum of money went from the government  

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to the rich during Covid it should be obvious  that that's a big causative factor in what is  

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happening now. Who at the Bank of England of all  these well-paid economists is talking about it  

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Andrew Bailey gets paid half a million pound  a year he's the chief of the bank of England  

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is he talking about the massive increase  in cash holdings by the rich during Covid?  

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i haven't heard him talk about it in fact  all he said is that ordinary people should  

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not ask for pay rises well i think all the new  people should be getting pay rises right so  

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the Bank of England is not a fault in the sense  that they can't raise taxes but they are at fault  

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in the sense that here's a lot of very well  paid economists who should be protecting  

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the living standards of people in this country  who have allowed the largest ever and quickest  

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ever transfer of wealth from the government to  the rich and have simply said nothing about it  

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you know if your job is to protect ordinary people  and to manage inflation and there's an enormous  

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transfer of cash from the government to the  rich that causes inflation and damages ordinary  

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people's lives you should at the very least talk  about it and they're not talking about it so um  

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the Bank of England, look interest rates, the  market expects them to stay at about 2%  

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level and to stabilize there um not ever to go higher because they expect the economy to  

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stay weak, personally i think they will probably  come up and at some point come back down again  

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and i expect we will see something like a zero  interest rate probably within a couple of years  

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that's not what the market expects that's what i  expect um but that's because i think the economy  

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will be very very weak in the long run um but  the most important thing to understand is that  

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even though inflation will normalise living  standards will not normalise and that's a terrible  

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message but it's the truth um and the only way  to fix that is is to is to tax the rich because  

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when you increase inequality you improve living  standards of the rich and you decrease living  

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standards of the rest, that's what we're going to  see, um that will not fix itself and we can only 

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fix that by fixing taxation policies, i would really love anyone who works at the Bank of England

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or who knows anyone who works the Bank of England to get in touch with me and talk about  

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why they haven't said anything about this massive transfer of cash and wealth to the richest because i  

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think that's, i would like to say it's criminal but to be  honest i think it's more a case of just stupidity  

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i've worked with a lot of economists and they're  not stupid people but they seem to be phenomenally  

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incurious people and i would love to know just  why nobody has spoken about it so if anyone in the  

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Bank of England can get in touch and say you know  maybe maybe someone has done it and if someone's  

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done it i'd love to see it but um that transfer of wealth has happened the Bank of England can't fix  

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it but they can talk about it and i really wish  they did because it's getting boring just being me

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good? we done? yeah