has to change
today<00:00:23.680> we<00:00:23.920> hear<00:00:24.160> his<00:00:24.400> story<00:00:25.039> this<00:00:25.359> shutdown<00:00:25.920> is
another europe podcast with me
luke<00:00:41.440> cooper<00:00:41.920> and<00:00:42.160> my<00:00:42.399> co-host<00:00:42.960> zoe<00:00:43.360> williams
luke cooper and my co-host zoe williams
today<00:00:44.399> we're<00:00:44.640> joined<00:00:44.879> by<00:00:45.120> gary<00:00:45.520> stevenson<00:00:46.559> a
state support to the financial system
would<00:00:57.039> lead<00:00:57.280> to<00:00:57.440> a<00:00:57.600> sharp<00:00:58.079> inflation<00:00:58.800> in<00:00:59.039> asset
as the real world economy was barely
growing<00:01:06.640> there<00:01:06.799> were<00:01:07.040> bull<00:01:07.280> markets<00:01:07.840> in<00:01:08.000> wall
street and the city of london
you'd<00:01:10.080> be<00:01:10.240> forgiven<00:01:10.720> for<00:01:10.880> thinking<00:01:11.360> the<00:01:11.520> rich
you'd be forgiven for thinking the rich
got<00:01:12.080> bailed<00:01:12.400> out<00:01:12.720> and<00:01:12.880> the<00:01:13.040> rest<00:01:13.439> got<00:01:13.680> sold<00:01:14.080> out
got bailed out and the rest got sold out
gary<00:01:15.119> retired<00:01:15.680> from<00:01:15.840> the<00:01:16.000> city<00:01:16.320> at<00:01:16.400> the<00:01:16.560> age<00:01:16.720> of
and is now working as an economist
warning<00:01:19.920> of<00:01:20.000> the<00:01:20.159> dangers<00:01:20.560> of<00:01:20.640> an<00:01:20.799> economic
in the last financial crisis we'll be
asking<00:01:29.680> him<00:01:29.920> what<00:01:30.079> he<00:01:30.240> makes<00:01:30.560> of<00:01:30.720> the<00:01:30.880> one
about by the coronavirus pandemic
he<00:01:38.079> also<00:01:38.400> has<00:01:38.560> a<00:01:38.720> youtube<00:01:39.200> channel<00:01:39.600> gary's
he's got some great videos on there so
check<00:01:45.759> it<00:01:45.920> out<00:01:46.560> as<00:01:46.799> usual<00:01:47.200> you<00:01:47.280> can<00:01:47.520> feed<00:01:47.759> back
to us on the show
and<00:01:49.119> feed<00:01:49.439> in<00:01:49.600> ideas<00:01:50.079> on<00:01:50.159> what<00:01:50.320> you'd<00:01:50.479> like<00:01:50.720> us
by emailing podcast another europe.org
you<00:01:55.840> can<00:01:56.000> also<00:01:56.240> support<00:01:56.640> the<00:01:56.719> podcast<00:01:57.280> by
on your podcast platform an extended
version<00:02:02.000> of<00:02:02.079> this<00:02:02.320> podcast<00:02:02.880> is<00:02:02.960> available<00:02:03.439> to
members of another europe is possible
another<00:02:06.320> europe<00:02:06.640> is<00:02:06.799> the<00:02:06.960> home<00:02:07.280> of<00:02:07.360> the
to join support our work and gain access
to<00:02:23.280> an<00:02:23.440> extended<00:02:24.000> version<00:02:24.319> of<00:02:24.400> this<00:02:24.640> podcast
gary welcome to the show so tell us how
did<00:02:38.080> you<00:02:38.160> come<00:02:38.400> to<00:02:38.480> work<00:02:38.720> as<00:02:38.879> a<00:02:38.959> trader
did you come to work as a trader
and<00:02:39.680> what<00:02:39.840> was<00:02:40.080> it<00:02:40.160> like<00:02:40.879> but<00:02:41.040> it's<00:02:41.200> a<00:02:41.280> funny
and what was it like but it's a funny
story<00:02:42.000> actually<00:02:42.400> um<00:02:42.720> i<00:02:42.879> actually<00:02:43.120> won<00:02:43.360> my
story actually um i actually won my
job<00:02:44.640> trading<00:02:45.040> in<00:02:45.120> a<00:02:45.200> card<00:02:45.519> game<00:02:45.680> when<00:02:45.840> i<00:02:45.920> was<00:02:46.080> at
i don't know if you know the university
well<00:02:56.560> but<00:02:56.959> back<00:02:57.200> then<00:02:57.519> i'm<00:02:57.680> guessing<00:02:57.920> it's
still the same now
it<00:02:59.280> was<00:02:59.360> a<00:02:59.440> bit<00:02:59.599> of<00:02:59.680> a<00:02:59.840> mad<00:03:00.159> place<00:03:00.480> where<00:03:00.959> a<00:03:01.120> lot
borderline obsessed with getting jobs in
investment<00:03:04.319> banking<00:03:04.959> i<00:03:05.120> remember<00:03:05.360> i<00:03:05.440> did<00:03:05.599> my
investment banking i remember i did my
first<00:03:06.000> year<00:03:06.159> i<00:03:06.239> came<00:03:06.400> back<00:03:06.560> in<00:03:06.720> second<00:03:06.959> year
acronym names ibd and m a or
nbs<00:03:20.640> trading<00:03:21.200> with<00:03:21.519> cds<00:03:22.159> and<00:03:22.480> i<00:03:22.640> really<00:03:22.879> didn't
have any idea
what<00:03:24.480> was<00:03:24.560> going<00:03:24.879> on<00:03:25.120> for<00:03:25.280> me<00:03:25.440> it<00:03:25.519> was<00:03:25.680> quite
intimidating really because i
i<00:03:27.680> don't<00:03:27.840> really<00:03:28.000> know<00:03:28.159> anyone<00:03:28.319> who<00:03:28.400> comes<00:03:28.560> to
the year above
approached<00:03:32.159> me<00:03:32.319> and<00:03:32.480> he<00:03:32.640> was<00:03:32.799> being<00:03:33.040> paid<00:03:33.280> by
approached me and he was being paid by
citibank<00:03:34.000> he<00:03:34.239> he'd<00:03:34.480> interned<00:03:34.799> at<00:03:34.879> seat<00:03:35.120> bank
year before
and<00:03:36.319> he<00:03:36.400> was<00:03:36.560> being<00:03:36.799> paid<00:03:36.959> to<00:03:37.120> sort<00:03:37.280> of<00:03:37.360> do<00:03:37.519> some
sort of talent scouting or something
he<00:03:40.159> approached<00:03:40.560> me<00:03:40.640> and<00:03:40.799> said<00:03:41.040> oh<00:03:41.360> we'll<00:03:41.599> see
he approached me and said oh we'll see
bank<00:03:42.000> high<00:03:42.159> as<00:03:42.239> one<00:03:42.480> trader<00:03:42.720> year<00:03:42.959> through<00:03:43.120> a
maybe you should try that
so<00:03:48.239> i<00:03:48.319> thought<00:03:48.560> why<00:03:48.720> not<00:03:48.879> i'll<00:03:49.040> give<00:03:49.280> it<00:03:49.360> a<00:03:49.440> go
so i thought why not i'll give it a go
so<00:03:50.560> i<00:03:50.640> turned<00:03:50.879> up<00:03:50.959> for<00:03:51.120> this<00:03:51.200> math<00:03:51.440> competition
so i turned up for this math competition
and<00:03:52.159> it<00:03:52.239> was<00:03:52.400> kind<00:03:52.640> of<00:03:52.720> like<00:03:52.879> it<00:03:52.959> was<00:03:53.040> a<00:03:53.120> card
game like a sort of
supposed<00:03:54.720> to<00:03:54.799> be<00:03:54.879> a<00:03:55.040> trading<00:03:55.360> style<00:03:55.680> game<00:03:56.000> you
buy and you sell
but<00:03:58.400> it's<00:03:58.480> hard<00:03:58.959> it<00:03:59.040> was<00:03:59.200> a<00:03:59.280> maths<00:03:59.519> game<00:03:59.920> so<00:04:00.319> i
just ended that game and
i<00:04:02.400> won<00:04:02.640> the<00:04:02.720> first<00:04:03.040> round<00:04:03.280> i<00:04:03.360> got<00:04:03.519> through<00:04:03.680> to
i won the first round i got through to
the<00:04:03.920> final<00:04:04.239> and<00:04:04.319> then<00:04:04.560> i<00:04:04.720> i<00:04:04.879> studied<00:04:05.280> it<00:04:05.360> a<00:04:05.439> lot
the final and then i i studied it a lot
i<00:04:05.840> went<00:04:06.000> to<00:04:06.159> the<00:04:06.239> final<00:04:06.640> and<00:04:06.879> and<00:04:06.959> i<00:04:07.040> won<00:04:07.280> that
and i got a job
i<00:04:09.120> was<00:04:09.599> completely<00:04:10.000> mad<00:04:10.560> yeah<00:04:10.879> it<00:04:10.959> was<00:04:11.200> i<00:04:11.280> was
i was completely mad yeah it was i was
working<00:04:11.599> at<00:04:11.680> dfs<00:04:12.159> fluffing<00:04:12.480> pillows<00:04:12.799> at<00:04:12.879> the
time in weekends and holidays
getting<00:04:15.120> paid<00:04:15.360> 45<00:04:15.840> pounds<00:04:16.079> a<00:04:16.160> day<00:04:16.720> i<00:04:16.880> don't
and then i turned up
on<00:04:23.360> the<00:04:23.440> trading<00:04:23.759> floor<00:04:24.080> and<00:04:24.160> i<00:04:24.240> would<00:04:24.400> have
on the trading floor and i would have
just<00:04:24.639> turned<00:04:24.880> 20.<00:04:25.360> i<00:04:25.520> didn't<00:04:25.759> really<00:04:25.840> know
just turned 20. i didn't really know
what's<00:04:26.160> going<00:04:26.320> on<00:04:26.479> i<00:04:26.560> was<00:04:26.639> just<00:04:26.880> offering<00:04:27.120> to
what's going on i was just offering to
buy<00:04:27.440> people<00:04:27.759> coffees<00:04:28.080> and<00:04:28.160> go<00:04:28.400> get<00:04:28.560> lunches
that's supposed to do with dfs but yeah
they<00:04:32.720> they<00:04:32.880> liked<00:04:33.199> me<00:04:33.360> i<00:04:33.759> i<00:04:33.919> didn't<00:04:34.080> know
they they liked me i i didn't know
what's<00:04:34.400> going<00:04:34.560> on<00:04:34.720> i<00:04:34.880> don't<00:04:34.960> know<00:04:35.040> if<00:04:35.120> you've
it's a huge huge huge room and
everyone's<00:04:40.080> got<00:04:40.240> like<00:04:40.479> six<00:04:40.800> or<00:04:40.880> seven<00:04:41.199> or<00:04:41.280> even
of noise and
yeah<00:04:45.840> it<00:04:45.919> took<00:04:46.080> a<00:04:46.160> bit<00:04:46.240> of<00:04:46.400> time<00:04:46.639> to<00:04:47.120> figure<00:04:47.440> out
yeah it took a bit of time to figure out
what<00:04:47.680> was<00:04:47.840> happening<00:04:48.639> and<00:04:48.800> what<00:04:49.040> and<00:04:49.120> what
that must have been before the financial
crash<00:04:52.639> right<00:04:52.960> so<00:04:53.120> my<00:04:53.360> internships<00:04:53.840> would<00:04:54.000> have
because i started full time in 2008
right<00:05:00.000> right<00:05:00.240> right<00:05:00.479> right<00:05:00.880> so<00:05:01.120> you<00:05:01.280> basically
been an experience
kind<00:05:08.000> of<00:05:08.160> in<00:05:08.320> itself<00:05:09.120> what<00:05:09.360> um<00:05:09.600> what<00:05:09.840> was<00:05:10.080> the
did did it seem really extreme or
because<00:05:14.160> you'd<00:05:14.320> had<00:05:14.400> nothing<00:05:14.639> to<00:05:14.720> compare<00:05:15.120> it
did it just seem like they were extreme
already<00:05:17.680> i<00:05:17.840> started<00:05:18.160> full<00:05:18.320> time<00:05:18.560> in<00:05:18.639> june<00:05:18.800> 2008
stocks all around the world are tanking
because<00:05:31.360> of<00:05:31.440> the<00:05:31.600> crisis<00:05:32.240> on<00:05:32.479> wall<00:05:32.720> street
because of the crisis on wall street
at<00:05:33.280> the<00:05:33.440> time<00:05:33.759> i<00:05:33.840> was<00:05:34.240> a<00:05:34.320> bit<00:05:34.560> too
the traders let me know
they<00:05:42.000> said<00:05:42.160> like<00:05:42.320> this<00:05:42.560> is<00:05:42.960> a<00:05:43.120> massive<00:05:43.600> massive
they said like this is a massive massive
deal<00:05:44.240> here<00:05:44.560> sort<00:05:44.720> of<00:05:44.800> amounts<00:05:45.199> of<00:05:45.280> money<00:05:45.520> being
bigger people were saying you know
citibank<00:05:50.400> was<00:05:50.560> bowed<00:05:50.880> out<00:05:50.960> by<00:05:51.120> the<00:05:51.280> american
the solvency of the bank
was<00:05:57.199> under<00:05:57.440> threat<00:05:57.680> but<00:05:57.840> also<00:05:58.240> that<00:05:58.400> there<00:05:58.560> was
a sovereignty of basically every bank
under<00:06:00.639> threat<00:06:01.039> so<00:06:01.520> right<00:06:02.720> they<00:06:02.960> knew<00:06:03.199> it<00:06:03.280> was
under threat so right they knew it was
serious<00:06:04.560> i<00:06:04.800> knew<00:06:05.039> it<00:06:05.120> was<00:06:05.680> serious<00:06:06.160> without
sense because i was so young
i<00:06:10.880> was<00:06:11.039> sort<00:06:11.199> of<00:06:11.360> taking<00:06:11.680> it<00:06:12.720> i<00:06:12.800> could<00:06:13.039> see<00:06:13.199> the
the traders at lse everyone's applying
for<00:06:16.400> 20<00:06:16.639> 30<00:06:16.880> banks<00:06:17.199> it's<00:06:17.360> kind<00:06:17.520> of<00:06:17.600> random<00:06:18.000> what
for 20 30 banks it's kind of random what
banks<00:06:18.400> you<00:06:18.560> end<00:06:18.720> up<00:06:18.880> at<00:06:18.960> you<00:06:19.039> know<00:06:19.199> so<00:06:19.280> i<00:06:19.360> had<00:06:19.440> a
banks you end up at you know so i had a
couple<00:06:19.680> of<00:06:19.840> friends<00:06:20.160> who<00:06:20.319> were<00:06:20.479> at<00:06:20.560> lehman
couple of friends who were at lehman
and<00:06:21.680> just<00:06:22.000> you<00:06:22.080> know<00:06:22.240> a<00:06:22.319> couple<00:06:22.560> years<00:06:22.800> into
the kind of overall mood did it feel
like<00:06:27.440> kind<00:06:27.600> of<00:06:27.680> in<00:06:27.840> the<00:06:28.000> eye<00:06:28.160> of<00:06:28.240> the<00:06:28.400> crisis
did your colleagues seem like they
thought<00:06:31.280> there<00:06:31.440> was<00:06:31.600> a<00:06:31.680> big<00:06:32.000> reckoning<00:06:32.479> coming
thought there was a big reckoning coming
with<00:06:33.520> the<00:06:33.680> way<00:06:34.560> the<00:06:34.720> system<00:06:35.120> worked<00:06:35.440> the<00:06:35.520> way
incentivized to make predictions
so<00:06:57.680> they<00:06:57.840> might<00:06:58.080> be<00:06:58.160> thinking<00:06:58.479> about<00:06:59.520> for
so they might be thinking about for
example<00:06:59.919> in<00:07:00.000> the<00:07:00.160> area<00:07:00.400> where<00:07:00.639> i<00:07:00.800> worked
example in the area where i worked
a<00:07:01.599> big<00:07:01.840> part<00:07:02.000> of<00:07:02.080> what<00:07:02.240> we<00:07:02.639> did<00:07:02.880> and<00:07:02.960> what<00:07:03.120> we
predict the strength of the future
economy<00:07:06.960> so<00:07:07.599> obviously<00:07:08.080> we<00:07:08.319> have<00:07:08.479> to<00:07:08.560> do<00:07:08.720> a<00:07:08.800> lot
economy so obviously we have to do a lot
of<00:07:09.039> that<00:07:09.120> you<00:07:09.199> know<00:07:09.360> and<00:07:09.440> there<00:07:09.599> was<00:07:09.680> a<00:07:09.759> guy<00:07:10.000> on
did really well which was just saying
this<00:07:12.639> is<00:07:12.720> going<00:07:12.880> to<00:07:12.960> be<00:07:13.039> a<00:07:13.120> disaster<00:07:13.599> it's
this is going to be a disaster it's
going<00:07:13.840> to<00:07:13.919> last<00:07:14.160> a<00:07:14.319> really<00:07:14.479> really<00:07:14.720> long<00:07:14.960> time
going to last a really really long time
we're<00:07:15.840> not<00:07:16.000> going<00:07:16.080> to<00:07:16.160> get<00:07:16.319> out<00:07:16.400> of<00:07:16.479> this<00:07:16.560> for
we're not going to get out of this for
ages<00:07:17.120> and<00:07:17.440> he<00:07:17.520> made<00:07:17.680> a<00:07:17.759> lot<00:07:17.840> of<00:07:17.919> money<00:07:18.240> on<00:07:18.400> that
that free market economics teaches us
that<00:07:45.360> if<00:07:45.840> a<00:07:46.000> state<00:07:46.560> provides<00:07:47.199> resources<00:07:47.919> to
situation because if the risk
mechanism<00:07:54.960> in<00:07:55.120> the<00:07:55.199> system<00:07:55.599> just<00:07:55.759> won't<00:07:56.080> work
in the way that it's meant
to<00:07:58.720> work<00:07:59.120> because<00:07:59.440> companies<00:08:00.000> will<00:08:00.160> know<00:08:00.400> that
global financial system
has<00:08:11.759> just<00:08:12.080> been<00:08:12.319> bailed<00:08:12.720> out<00:08:13.280> by<00:08:13.599> the<00:08:13.840> state
were a couple of people who
would<00:08:19.840> mention<00:08:20.160> this<00:08:20.319> kind<00:08:20.560> of<00:08:20.720> thing<00:08:21.039> on<00:08:21.199> the
there's hundreds of traders right and
i<00:08:24.720> was<00:08:24.879> on<00:08:25.039> interest<00:08:25.360> rates<00:08:25.599> trading<00:08:26.400> people
i was on interest rates trading people
there<00:08:26.800> would<00:08:26.960> be<00:08:27.039> very<00:08:27.199> willing<00:08:27.440> to<00:08:27.520> say<00:08:27.680> well
it was the credit traders
that<00:08:29.360> blew<00:08:29.520> the<00:08:29.680> economy<00:08:30.080> up<00:08:30.240> so<00:08:30.400> they<00:08:30.560> sort<00:08:30.720> of
that blew the economy up so they sort of
they<00:08:31.199> washed<00:08:31.440> their<00:08:31.520> hands<00:08:31.759> of<00:08:31.840> it<00:08:31.919> so<00:08:32.080> it<00:08:32.159> was
nothing to do with us
kind<00:08:33.360> of<00:08:33.440> thing<00:08:34.159> i<00:08:34.240> think<00:08:34.399> there<00:08:34.560> were<00:08:34.719> some
who've made a lot of money
even<00:08:40.320> if<00:08:40.479> it<00:08:40.560> wasn't<00:08:40.800> people<00:08:41.039> on<00:08:41.120> my<00:08:41.360> team
that happened but a trading floor
is<00:08:50.880> not<00:08:51.440> really<00:08:51.600> much<00:08:51.839> of<00:08:51.920> a<00:08:52.000> place<00:08:52.240> for
is not really much of a place for
moralizing<00:08:53.360> just<00:08:53.360> just<00:08:53.760> a<00:08:53.839> couple<00:08:54.000> of<00:08:54.160> years
moralizing just just a couple of years
after<00:08:54.640> 2008<00:08:55.360> we<00:08:55.519> used<00:08:55.680> to<00:08:55.760> have<00:08:55.920> once<00:08:56.240> a<00:08:56.320> year
what was called a trading off site where
all<00:08:58.399> the<00:08:58.560> traders<00:08:58.959> go<00:08:59.440> to<00:08:59.600> some<00:08:59.839> place
all the traders go to some place
somewhere<00:09:00.480> and<00:09:00.560> have<00:09:00.720> like<00:09:00.880> a<00:09:00.959> weekend<00:09:01.279> away
somewhere and have like a weekend away
to<00:09:01.680> get<00:09:01.760> to<00:09:01.920> know<00:09:02.080> each<00:09:02.240> other<00:09:02.480> and<00:09:02.640> this<00:09:02.800> kind
of stuff and
just<00:09:04.160> two<00:09:04.320> years<00:09:04.560> later<00:09:04.880> in<00:09:05.080> 2010<00:09:06.160> was<00:09:06.320> it<00:09:06.480> or
just two years later in 2010 was it or
2011<00:09:07.360> at<00:09:07.440> the<00:09:07.600> beginning<00:09:07.920> of<00:09:08.000> the<00:09:08.160> year
2011 at the beginning of the year
they<00:09:09.200> took<00:09:09.440> us<00:09:09.600> away<00:09:09.839> and<00:09:09.920> they<00:09:10.080> gave<00:09:10.320> us<00:09:10.399> this
great traders we think you should
take<00:09:14.240> more<00:09:14.480> risk<00:09:15.279> and<00:09:15.360> they<00:09:15.519> gave<00:09:15.760> us<00:09:15.920> these
take more risk and they gave us these
little<00:09:16.720> camo<00:09:17.120> baseball<00:09:17.440> hats<00:09:17.680> we<00:09:17.839> said<00:09:18.000> on<00:09:18.080> the
front
go<00:09:19.040> big<00:09:19.279> or<00:09:19.360> go<00:09:19.600> home<00:09:20.240> and<00:09:20.320> they<00:09:20.480> said<00:09:20.959> if
you're comfortable taking a risk in
in<00:09:23.760> one<00:09:23.920> million<00:09:24.240> dollars<00:09:24.720> why<00:09:24.880> don't<00:09:25.040> you
take it in 10 million
and<00:09:27.440> the<00:09:28.399> i<00:09:28.480> mean<00:09:28.640> this<00:09:28.880> is<00:09:29.040> clearly<00:09:29.360> taking
the system that is in place with
investment<00:09:33.279> banks<00:09:33.519> which<00:09:33.600> runs<00:09:33.839> all<00:09:34.000> the<00:09:34.080> way
as an individual trader if you make a
lot<00:09:36.800> of<00:09:36.880> money<00:09:37.440> you'll<00:09:37.680> be<00:09:37.839> paid<00:09:38.000> a<00:09:38.080> lot<00:09:38.160> of
situation exists for your boss
and<00:09:45.839> the<00:09:45.920> same<00:09:46.160> situation<00:09:46.560> exists<00:09:46.800> for<00:09:46.959> his
and the same situation exists for his
boss<00:09:47.600> and<00:09:47.760> the<00:09:47.839> same<00:09:48.000> situation<00:09:48.399> exists<00:09:48.720> for
these banks collectively blew the world
up<00:10:03.360> we<00:10:03.519> would<00:10:03.680> be<00:10:03.760> encouraged<00:10:04.240> just<00:10:04.480> to<00:10:04.720> take
up we would be encouraged just to take
much<00:10:05.200> more<00:10:05.360> risk<00:10:05.600> go<00:10:05.760> back<00:10:05.920> and<00:10:06.000> take<00:10:06.240> much
today the predictions that you made a
lot<00:10:22.000> of<00:10:22.079> money<00:10:22.399> on<00:10:22.640> what<00:10:22.880> were<00:10:23.040> they
lot of money on what were they
on<00:10:23.839> were<00:10:24.000> they<00:10:24.240> on<00:10:24.399> interest<00:10:24.720> rates<00:10:25.920> yeah<00:10:26.240> so
on were they on interest rates yeah so
the<00:10:26.640> way<00:10:26.800> interest<00:10:27.040> rates<00:10:27.279> are<00:10:27.360> supposed<00:10:27.680> to
work they're they're fixed by the
central<00:10:29.519> bank<00:10:29.760> so<00:10:29.920> in<00:10:30.000> this<00:10:30.079> country<00:10:30.399> the<00:10:30.480> bank
idea is actually relatively simple right
if<00:10:35.440> they<00:10:35.680> think<00:10:35.920> if<00:10:36.079> the<00:10:36.160> central<00:10:36.480> bank<00:10:36.640> thinks
cheaper for individuals to borrow and
spend<00:10:46.560> it<00:10:46.640> makes<00:10:46.959> it<00:10:47.120> less<00:10:47.360> worthwhile<00:10:47.920> saving
and it's supposed to encourage people
and<00:10:50.480> companies<00:10:50.880> to<00:10:50.959> get<00:10:51.120> out<00:10:51.279> and<00:10:51.360> spend<00:10:51.680> and
get the economy
going<00:10:53.519> if<00:10:53.600> they<00:10:53.760> think<00:10:53.920> the<00:10:54.000> economy<00:10:54.320> is<00:10:54.480> too
hot and they're worried about inflation
they<00:10:56.399> do<00:10:56.560> the<00:10:56.640> opposite<00:10:56.959> they<00:10:57.040> raise<00:10:57.360> rates
collapsed very very quickly to
zero<00:11:04.800> or<00:11:04.959> close<00:11:05.200> to<00:11:05.360> zero<00:11:06.480> previously<00:11:06.959> they've
you're looking at and at the time
because<00:11:12.720> it<00:11:12.800> was<00:11:12.959> such<00:11:13.120> a<00:11:13.279> huge<00:11:13.680> move<00:11:13.920> in
previously they'd move rates very small
amount<00:11:17.200> like<00:11:17.440> four<00:11:17.600> and<00:11:17.760> a<00:11:17.760> half<00:11:18.000> to<00:11:18.079> four<00:11:18.240> and
and every country was doing that
everyone<00:11:27.040> expected<00:11:27.680> there<00:11:27.839> to<00:11:27.920> be<00:11:28.000> a<00:11:28.160> really
rapid recovery based on these
huge<00:11:30.160> moves<00:11:30.399> and<00:11:30.560> interest<00:11:30.880> rates<00:11:32.160> so<00:11:32.320> my<00:11:32.480> job
huge moves and interest rates so my job
was<00:11:32.800> to<00:11:32.959> basically<00:11:33.360> bet<00:11:33.519> what<00:11:33.680> will<00:11:33.839> the
interest rate be in
two<00:11:35.279> years<00:11:35.519> time<00:11:35.839> in<00:11:35.920> three<00:11:36.160> years<00:11:36.399> time<00:11:37.200> and
of this it's really interesting because
the<00:11:44.720> rates<00:11:44.959> collapsed<00:11:45.279> to<00:11:45.360> zero<00:11:45.600> in<00:11:45.680> 2008<00:11:46.800> and
at the time everyone predicted
they'll<00:11:48.800> go<00:11:48.959> up<00:11:49.120> in<00:11:49.200> 2009<00:11:50.560> then<00:11:50.720> when<00:11:50.880> 2009
the economy was still weak those
predictions<00:11:54.160> got<00:11:54.320> pushed<00:11:54.480> back<00:11:54.639> to<00:11:54.839> 2010.<00:11:55.920> but
in 2010 it was 2011 2011 it was 2012.
in<00:11:59.760> 2012<00:12:00.399> it<00:12:00.480> was<00:12:00.560> 2013.<00:12:01.760> and<00:12:01.920> even<00:12:02.079> if<00:12:02.240> you<00:12:02.399> go
really phenomenal to think about it's as
if<00:12:11.920> you<00:12:12.000> turn<00:12:12.160> on<00:12:12.240> the<00:12:12.320> weather<00:12:12.560> forecast
if you turn on the weather forecast
and<00:12:13.279> they<00:12:13.440> were<00:12:13.600> just<00:12:13.760> predicting<00:12:14.800> 37<00:12:15.360> degrees
and sunny every day
in<00:12:16.880> london<00:12:17.279> or<00:12:17.519> if<00:12:17.680> you<00:12:17.760> watch<00:12:18.000> the<00:12:18.079> penalty
in london or if you watch the penalty
shooter<00:12:18.720> and<00:12:18.800> they<00:12:18.959> all<00:12:19.440> hit<00:12:19.680> off<00:12:19.760> for<00:12:19.920> a
they've just been wrong every single
year<00:12:22.240> so<00:12:22.720> my<00:12:22.959> job<00:12:23.120> was<00:12:23.279> to<00:12:23.440> bet<00:12:23.680> will<00:12:23.920> this
i started to become i started to
question<00:12:31.760> really<00:12:32.000> the<00:12:32.079> ideas<00:12:32.399> i<00:12:32.480> learned<00:12:32.639> at
why is the recovery not happening what
is<00:12:36.160> the<00:12:36.240> problem<00:12:36.959> and<00:12:37.120> i<00:12:37.200> developed<00:12:37.760> these
so i basically bet that rates will stay
zero<00:12:53.760> or<00:12:53.920> close<00:12:54.079> to<00:12:54.240> zero<00:12:54.480> for<00:12:54.639> a<00:12:54.720> very<00:12:54.959> long
that means that you're going to make
more<00:13:08.720> money<00:13:09.040> is<00:13:09.120> that<00:13:09.279> a<00:13:09.360> fair<00:13:09.680> assumption
more money is that a fair assumption
yeah<00:13:11.200> yeah<00:13:11.440> i<00:13:11.519> mean<00:13:11.839> the<00:13:12.320> things<00:13:12.560> have<00:13:12.639> changed
yeah yeah i mean the things have changed
a<00:13:13.120> little<00:13:13.200> bit<00:13:13.360> since<00:13:13.600> i<00:13:13.760> was<00:13:13.920> there
you were expected to make personally a
percentage<00:13:20.639> of<00:13:20.720> what<00:13:20.800> you<00:13:20.880> made<00:13:21.120> for<00:13:21.279> the<00:13:21.360> bank
percentage of what you made for the bank
it<00:13:22.079> was<00:13:22.240> all<00:13:22.399> a<00:13:22.480> little<00:13:22.639> bit<00:13:22.800> murky<00:13:23.279> because
the bank to do that so at the end of the
year<00:13:27.920> you<00:13:28.000> kind<00:13:28.160> of<00:13:28.240> have<00:13:28.399> to<00:13:28.639> hope<00:13:28.880> that<00:13:29.040> they
pay you which was sort of a strange
setup<00:13:32.320> but<00:13:32.639> yeah<00:13:32.880> the<00:13:33.040> idea<00:13:33.519> is<00:13:33.600> that<00:13:33.760> you<00:13:33.920> will
bank as you had this realization
did<00:13:39.120> your<00:13:39.440> politics<00:13:40.000> change<00:13:40.480> as<00:13:40.639> you<00:13:40.800> were
because
you<00:13:45.680> know<00:13:46.079> at<00:13:46.240> the<00:13:46.399> time<00:13:46.959> i<00:13:47.040> was<00:13:47.279> just<00:13:48.079> super
competitively making predictions
trying<00:13:57.680> to<00:13:57.760> make<00:13:57.920> the<00:13:58.000> right<00:13:58.160> predictions<00:13:58.720> i
try make the right prediction try and
make<00:14:02.399> the<00:14:02.480> right<00:14:02.639> prediction<00:14:03.199> now<00:14:03.680> when<00:14:03.839> i
university
at<00:14:13.120> first<00:14:13.360> i<00:14:13.519> wasn't<00:14:13.760> certain<00:14:14.079> of<00:14:14.160> that<00:14:14.480> i<00:14:14.639> was
quite confident because you know i've
been<00:14:16.240> thinking<00:14:16.560> about<00:14:16.720> these<00:14:16.880> ideas<00:14:17.120> for<00:14:17.199> a
been thinking about these ideas for a
couple<00:14:17.440> of<00:14:17.519> years<00:14:17.839> but<00:14:17.920> i<00:14:18.000> wasn't<00:14:18.320> certain
couple of years but i wasn't certain
but<00:14:19.440> i<00:14:19.519> was<00:14:19.600> confident<00:14:19.920> enough<00:14:20.160> to<00:14:20.240> make<00:14:20.320> a<00:14:20.399> big
year when i did that 2011
i<00:14:28.639> was<00:14:28.800> the<00:14:28.880> most<00:14:29.040> profitable<00:14:29.440> trader<00:14:29.839> in<00:14:30.000> the
i was the most profitable trader in the
bank<00:14:30.399> globally<00:14:31.040> that<00:14:31.199> year<00:14:31.440> on<00:14:31.519> the<00:14:31.600> back<00:14:31.839> of
that
then<00:14:33.680> when<00:14:33.920> that<00:14:34.160> came<00:14:34.399> back<00:14:35.920> at<00:14:36.079> first<00:14:36.320> i<00:14:36.399> just
then when that came back at first i just
wanted<00:14:36.720> to<00:14:36.800> make<00:14:36.959> sure<00:14:37.120> i<00:14:37.199> got<00:14:37.440> paid
wanted to make sure i got paid
because<00:14:38.639> this<00:14:38.880> is<00:14:38.959> a<00:14:39.120> weird<00:14:39.360> world<00:14:39.680> and<00:14:39.839> you
because this is a weird world and you
know<00:14:40.320> they<00:14:40.480> might<00:14:40.639> just<00:14:40.880> fire<00:14:41.040> you<00:14:41.199> instead<00:14:41.440> of
know they might just fire you instead of
paying<00:14:41.839> you<00:14:42.000> and<00:14:42.160> it<00:14:42.240> was<00:14:42.399> a<00:14:42.480> lot<00:14:42.560> of<00:14:42.639> money
that was on the line
but<00:14:44.240> once<00:14:44.480> that<00:14:44.639> was<00:14:44.800> done<00:14:45.120> i<00:14:45.279> sort<00:14:45.440> of<00:14:45.600> sat
but once that was done i sort of sat
back<00:14:46.000> and<00:14:46.160> i<00:14:46.240> thought<00:14:46.560> well<00:14:46.720> that<00:14:46.880> was
back and i thought well that was
strange<00:14:48.560> because<00:14:49.839> i<00:14:49.920> mean<00:14:50.160> you<00:14:50.240> might<00:14:50.480> think
in a civilized society
if<00:14:52.959> you<00:14:53.519> have<00:14:53.760> been<00:14:53.920> paid<00:14:54.160> a<00:14:54.160> lot<00:14:54.320> of<00:14:54.399> money<00:14:54.720> to
of like escalation like
okay<00:15:00.480> you<00:15:00.560> should<00:15:00.720> probably<00:15:00.959> go<00:15:01.199> and<00:15:01.279> talk<00:15:01.440> to
to happen but
they<00:15:04.399> just<00:15:04.560> said<00:15:04.800> all<00:15:04.959> right<00:15:05.519> that<00:15:05.680> was<00:15:05.920> great
they just said all right that was great
we<00:15:06.399> all<00:15:06.480> made<00:15:06.639> money<00:15:06.959> do<00:15:07.199> it<00:15:07.279> again
we all made money do it again
it<00:15:08.079> was<00:15:08.240> only<00:15:08.560> after<00:15:09.199> it<00:15:09.440> happened<00:15:09.760> it<00:15:09.920> had
it was only after it happened it had
been<00:15:10.160> really<00:15:10.399> successful<00:15:10.880> that<00:15:11.040> i<00:15:11.120> started<00:15:11.360> to
very good at making economic predictions
you<00:15:17.199> can<00:15:17.279> get<00:15:17.440> paid<00:15:17.760> a<00:15:17.839> lot<00:15:18.959> by<00:15:19.199> bank<00:15:19.600> but
you can get paid a lot by bank but
there's<00:15:20.399> not<00:15:20.480> really<00:15:20.959> many<00:15:21.360> other<00:15:21.519> places<00:15:22.000> i
that's why i'm here on this podcast
right<00:15:24.560> to<00:15:24.639> try<00:15:24.720> and<00:15:24.800> tell<00:15:25.040> people<00:15:25.279> right<00:15:25.839> if
the government's listening give me a
shout<00:15:27.440> i'll<00:15:27.519> work<00:15:27.680> for<00:15:27.839> free<00:15:28.079> i'll<00:15:28.240> tell<00:15:28.399> you
that if you have something to contribute
to<00:15:44.399> the<00:15:44.560> structure<00:15:44.959> of<00:15:45.120> society<00:15:46.079> that<00:15:46.320> is<00:15:46.560> hang
say okay fine
that's<00:16:00.000> good<00:16:00.240> work<00:16:00.959> go<00:16:01.120> away<00:16:01.519> and<00:16:01.680> do<00:16:01.920> it<00:16:02.000> again
that's good work go away and do it again
and<00:16:03.120> of<00:16:03.279> course<00:16:03.519> this<00:16:03.759> prediction<00:16:04.320> has<00:16:04.880> really
and of course this prediction has really
a<00:16:05.360> lot<00:16:05.600> of<00:16:05.759> social<00:16:06.240> utility<00:16:06.880> for<00:16:07.040> the<00:16:07.120> rest<00:16:07.360> of
society
as<00:16:08.240> you<00:16:08.320> say<00:16:08.560> in<00:16:08.720> a<00:16:08.800> civilized<00:16:09.759> country<00:16:10.399> and<00:16:10.639> in
a civilized world
this<00:16:12.480> would<00:16:12.639> be<00:16:12.800> hang<00:16:13.040> on<00:16:13.120> a<00:16:13.199> minute<00:16:13.519> we<00:16:13.600> need
i mean what what happened was this sort
of<00:16:23.440> problem<00:16:23.759> sort<00:16:23.920> of<00:16:24.000> built<00:16:24.240> up<00:16:24.399> in<00:16:24.480> me
of problem sort of built up in me
over<00:16:25.120> time<00:16:25.519> eventually<00:16:26.000> i<00:16:26.560> i<00:16:26.880> escalated<00:16:27.360> to
over time eventually i i escalated to
management<00:16:27.839> and<00:16:28.000> i<00:16:28.079> said<00:16:28.240> you<00:16:28.320> know<00:16:28.560> i<00:16:28.639> just
management and i said you know i just
don't<00:16:28.959> think<00:16:29.120> i<00:16:29.279> can<00:16:29.360> do<00:16:29.519> this<00:16:29.839> anymore
really weak for a long time
and<00:16:37.680> they<00:16:37.839> still<00:16:38.160> are<00:16:38.320> they<00:16:38.480> have<00:16:38.639> been<00:16:38.800> ever
and they still are they have been ever
since<00:16:39.360> and<00:16:39.519> the<00:16:39.759> predictions<00:16:40.240> have<00:16:40.320> been<00:16:40.399> very
and you know after about six months
after<00:16:43.759> that<00:16:43.920> i<00:16:44.000> went<00:16:44.160> to<00:16:44.399> management<00:16:44.800> and<00:16:44.800> said
after that i went to management and said
yeah<00:16:45.120> i<00:16:45.199> think<00:16:45.279> i<00:16:45.440> need<00:16:45.519> to<00:16:45.600> take<00:16:45.759> some<00:16:45.839> time
yeah i think i need to take some time
out<00:16:46.160> and<00:16:46.240> figure<00:16:46.480> out<00:16:46.560> what<00:16:46.639> i<00:16:46.800> can<00:16:46.880> do<00:16:47.120> here
and then they they very strongly
encouraged<00:16:49.839> me<00:16:49.920> not<00:16:50.079> to<00:16:50.160> do<00:16:50.320> that<00:16:50.560> and<00:16:50.639> then
encouraged me not to do that and then
about<00:16:52.000> a<00:16:52.079> year<00:16:52.240> later<00:16:52.560> i<00:16:52.639> went<00:16:52.800> back<00:16:53.040> and<00:16:53.120> said
about a year later i went back and said
look<00:16:53.519> i<00:16:53.839> i<00:16:54.160> think<00:16:54.399> i<00:16:54.480> need<00:16:54.639> to<00:16:54.720> leave<00:16:54.959> i<00:16:55.040> think<00:16:55.199> i
look i i think i need to leave i think i
need<00:16:55.440> to<00:16:55.519> go<00:16:55.759> and<00:16:55.839> work<00:16:56.079> for<00:16:56.160> a<00:16:56.240> charity
need to go and work for a charity
that's<00:16:57.759> work<00:16:57.920> on<00:16:58.079> inequality<00:16:58.639> because<00:16:59.199> i<00:16:59.360> just
that's work on inequality because i just
don't<00:16:59.920> think<00:17:00.160> it's<00:17:00.320> right<00:17:00.480> me<00:17:00.639> just<00:17:00.800> sitting
the world being terrible and um yeah
let's<00:17:05.520> just<00:17:05.919> i<00:17:06.240> don't<00:17:06.400> want<00:17:06.480> to<00:17:06.559> go<00:17:06.640> in<00:17:06.720> too
let's just i don't want to go in too
much<00:17:07.120> detail<00:17:07.439> on<00:17:07.520> that<00:17:07.679> but<00:17:08.079> let's<00:17:08.319> say<00:17:08.480> the
much detail on that but let's say the
bank<00:17:08.799> made<00:17:09.039> it<00:17:09.199> very<00:17:09.439> difficult<00:17:09.760> for<00:17:09.919> me<00:17:10.079> to
publicly about inequality so yes
it's<00:17:15.199> a<00:17:15.280> strange<00:17:15.600> world<00:17:15.760> we<00:17:15.839> live<00:17:16.079> in<00:17:16.160> where<00:17:16.400> if
will be terrible forever
but<00:17:23.520> i<00:17:23.600> mean<00:17:23.839> after<00:17:24.000> i<00:17:24.079> went<00:17:24.240> to<00:17:24.400> oxford<00:17:24.799> and<00:17:25.039> to
but i mean after i went to oxford and to
do<00:17:25.360> a<00:17:25.439> master's<00:17:25.760> degree<00:17:25.919> and<00:17:26.079> tried<00:17:26.240> to<00:17:26.319> tell
do a master's degree and tried to tell
the<00:17:26.559> professors<00:17:26.959> and<00:17:27.039> say<00:17:27.199> look<00:17:27.439> economy<00:17:27.760> is
the professors and say look economy is
going<00:17:27.919> to<00:17:28.000> be<00:17:28.079> terrible<00:17:28.400> forever<00:17:28.799> and<00:17:28.880> they
going to be terrible forever and they
just<00:17:29.280> said<00:17:29.520> well<00:17:29.679> go<00:17:29.840> read<00:17:30.000> this<00:17:30.160> 100<00:17:30.640> page
i think that's a lot of the journey but
i<00:17:36.720> mean<00:17:36.960> i<00:17:37.039> should<00:17:37.280> say<00:17:37.520> for<00:17:37.679> podcast
description but we came across
you<00:17:46.480> through<00:17:47.280> a<00:17:47.600> mutual<00:17:48.000> friend<00:17:48.320> who<00:17:48.480> works
in tower hamlets so just at this stage
you<00:17:55.840> know<00:17:56.320> you<00:17:56.559> must<00:17:56.880> have<00:17:57.280> in<00:17:57.440> this<00:17:58.000> journey
you know you must have in this journey
through<00:17:59.200> citibank<00:18:00.320> to<00:18:00.559> oxford<00:18:01.520> you<00:18:01.840> ended<00:18:02.160> up
i mean that's like a quite phenomenal
journey<00:18:11.919> in<00:18:12.160> quite<00:18:12.320> a<00:18:12.400> short<00:18:12.720> space<00:18:13.039> of<00:18:13.200> time
journey in quite a short space of time
it<00:18:13.760> might<00:18:14.000> seem<00:18:14.240> like<00:18:14.400> a<00:18:14.480> big<00:18:14.640> journey<00:18:15.039> really
for me i think i don't view myself as a
hugely<00:18:19.280> political<00:18:19.679> person<00:18:20.080> but<00:18:20.320> you<00:18:20.400> know<00:18:20.880> my
life has been
devoted<00:18:22.720> for<00:18:23.039> 15<00:18:23.360> years<00:18:23.600> now<00:18:23.760> to<00:18:23.919> the<00:18:24.080> study<00:18:24.320> of
i've been very successful doing that
i've<00:18:27.919> made<00:18:28.080> a<00:18:28.160> lot<00:18:28.240> of<00:18:28.320> money<00:18:28.559> doing<00:18:28.799> that<00:18:29.039> and
i've made a lot of money doing that and
i<00:18:29.520> think<00:18:29.760> it's<00:18:30.000> because<00:18:30.960> i<00:18:31.200> have<00:18:31.440> understood
something about it
it's<00:18:36.720> not<00:18:36.799> just<00:18:37.039> the<00:18:37.120> moral<00:18:37.440> issue<00:18:37.600> here<00:18:37.760> you
it's not just the moral issue here you
know<00:18:38.000> it<00:18:38.160> leads<00:18:38.480> to<00:18:39.120> low<00:18:39.360> wages<00:18:39.919> unaffordable
happens if you have very high inequality
and<00:18:46.960> i<00:18:47.039> don't<00:18:47.200> think<00:18:47.360> it's<00:18:47.520> really<00:18:47.760> understood
why i've been able to
beat<00:18:50.880> the<00:18:50.960> market<00:18:51.360> year<00:18:51.600> after<00:18:51.840> year<00:18:52.559> so<00:18:53.280> since
beat the market year after year so since
i<00:18:53.760> think<00:18:54.000> that<00:18:54.480> that's<00:18:54.720> my<00:18:54.880> economic<00:18:55.280> view<00:18:56.080> i
need to find a way
to<00:18:57.440> get<00:18:57.600> my<00:18:57.760> voice<00:18:58.080> out<00:18:58.240> basically<00:18:58.640> so<00:18:58.799> i've
to get my voice out basically so i've
been<00:18:59.200> looking<00:18:59.360> for<00:18:59.520> the<00:18:59.600> last<00:18:59.840> few<00:19:00.000> years
volunteered at new economics foundation
for<00:19:08.480> a<00:19:08.559> bit<00:19:08.799> working<00:19:09.120> with<00:19:09.280> a<00:19:09.360> guy<00:19:09.600> called
were talking a lot about inequality
and<00:19:14.480> i<00:19:14.559> thought<00:19:14.799> maybe<00:19:15.039> here's<00:19:15.360> a<00:19:15.520> place<00:19:16.240> where
and i thought maybe here's a place where
i<00:19:16.480> can<00:19:16.559> get<00:19:16.720> a<00:19:16.799> bit<00:19:16.880> of<00:19:17.039> a<00:19:17.120> voice
i can get a bit of a voice
to<00:19:18.320> be<00:19:18.400> honest<00:19:18.640> i've<00:19:18.720> been<00:19:18.880> looking<00:19:19.039> all<00:19:19.200> over
to be honest i've been looking all over
the<00:19:19.440> place<00:19:19.600> you<00:19:19.679> know<00:19:19.760> i<00:19:19.840> wrote<00:19:20.000> for<00:19:20.080> the<00:19:20.160> daily
last week yeah it might seem like a long
journey<00:19:23.280> to<00:19:23.440> be<00:19:23.520> honest<00:19:23.760> but<00:19:24.000> you<00:19:24.080> know
journey to be honest but you know
i<00:19:24.559> look<00:19:24.799> i<00:19:24.880> learned<00:19:25.120> about<00:19:25.280> economics<00:19:25.840> at<00:19:26.320> lsu
and in the banking sector and
the<00:19:29.039> way<00:19:29.280> i<00:19:29.440> see<00:19:29.679> it<00:19:29.840> is<00:19:30.240> if<00:19:30.400> we<00:19:30.480> don't<00:19:30.640> do
really bad way so
you<00:19:36.000> know<00:19:37.039> for<00:19:37.200> me<00:19:37.360> it's<00:19:37.440> not<00:19:37.520> a<00:19:37.600> political
you know for me it's not a political
issue<00:19:38.320> do<00:19:38.480> you<00:19:38.559> want<00:19:38.640> an<00:19:38.799> economic<00:19:39.120> disaster
gary and his truly amazing story
a<00:19:51.360> quick<00:19:51.679> shout<00:19:52.000> out<00:19:52.320> for<00:19:52.480> a<00:19:52.559> new<00:19:52.799> series<00:19:53.200> of
podcasts i've made for the lse
about<00:19:55.600> the<00:19:55.760> causes<00:19:56.240> of<00:19:56.400> war<00:19:56.720> and<00:19:56.799> conflict<00:19:57.440> in
across six episodes we dig deeper into
the<00:20:02.159> ideas<00:20:02.640> and<00:20:02.799> theory<00:20:03.280> you<00:20:03.520> need<00:20:03.760> to<00:20:03.919> make
we investigate the causes of conflict in
the<00:20:12.480> horn<00:20:12.799> of<00:20:12.960> africa<00:20:13.440> central<00:20:13.919> africa<00:20:14.400> and
produced a sharp increase in global
inequality<00:20:52.159> yeah<00:20:52.320> so<00:20:52.480> when<00:20:52.640> we<00:20:52.720> go<00:20:52.880> back<00:20:53.039> to
this is what economists might call a
demand<00:20:57.440> crisis<00:20:57.919> right<00:20:58.159> which<00:20:58.320> is<00:20:58.400> worth<00:20:58.640> just
talking about just a little bit
it's<00:21:00.400> a<00:21:00.480> crisis<00:21:00.880> that<00:21:00.960> happens<00:21:01.280> when<00:21:01.520> suddenly
they tend to think about the production
side<00:21:09.200> of<00:21:09.280> things<00:21:09.679> they<00:21:09.840> think<00:21:10.000> oh<00:21:10.240> we've<00:21:10.400> got<00:21:10.480> a
is coming about because people suddenly
stop<00:21:18.880> spending<00:21:19.280> and<00:21:19.520> that<00:21:19.760> creates<00:21:20.080> a<00:21:20.240> problem
basically tell you there's two things
you<00:21:39.919> can<00:21:40.080> do<00:21:40.240> in<00:21:40.320> this<00:21:40.400> kind<00:21:40.559> of<00:21:40.640> situation
you can do in this kind of situation
one<00:21:41.840> is<00:21:41.919> what<00:21:42.000> they'll<00:21:42.240> call<00:21:42.480> fiscal<00:21:42.880> policy
in and directly spend
so<00:21:47.200> the<00:21:47.280> problem<00:21:47.600> with<00:21:47.679> the<00:21:47.760> economy<00:21:48.080> is<00:21:48.159> not
and you know it could be on anything
really<00:21:53.200> but<00:21:53.440> you<00:21:53.520> know<00:21:53.760> obviously<00:21:54.080> there's<00:21:54.240> a
really but you know obviously there's a
lot<00:21:54.400> of<00:21:54.480> talk<00:21:54.720> this<00:21:54.880> time<00:21:55.039> of<00:21:55.200> a<00:21:55.280> green<00:21:55.440> new
to deal with it and in 2008
a<00:22:13.919> decision<00:22:14.400> was<00:22:14.640> kind<00:22:14.880> of<00:22:15.039> made<00:22:15.520> over<00:22:15.760> the
it was a coalition government after 2010
not<00:22:20.720> to<00:22:20.880> really<00:22:21.280> go<00:22:21.520> for<00:22:21.679> a<00:22:21.760> lot<00:22:21.919> of<00:22:22.159> aggressive
not to really go for a lot of aggressive
fiscal<00:22:22.960> support<00:22:23.360> not<00:22:23.520> to<00:22:23.600> go<00:22:23.679> for<00:22:23.840> a<00:22:23.840> lot<00:22:23.919> of
government support
so<00:22:25.520> that<00:22:25.679> meant<00:22:26.000> instead<00:22:26.720> we<00:22:26.880> went<00:22:27.039> for<00:22:27.200> the
in this mode of supporting an economy
the<00:22:35.280> central<00:22:35.679> bank<00:22:36.000> so<00:22:36.159> in<00:22:36.240> this<00:22:36.320> country<00:22:36.640> the
bank of england
prints<00:22:38.320> a<00:22:38.400> lot<00:22:38.480> of<00:22:38.559> money<00:22:38.960> i<00:22:39.039> think<00:22:39.280> people<00:22:39.440> get
confused about that sometimes but you
just<00:22:41.120> need<00:22:41.280> to<00:22:41.360> understand<00:22:41.679> the<00:22:41.840> central<00:22:42.080> bank
and then they lend that into the system
now<00:22:47.440> this<00:22:47.600> is<00:22:47.760> a<00:22:47.840> more<00:22:48.080> interesting<00:22:48.480> way<00:22:48.640> of
what happened in 2008 largely the
central<00:23:00.080> bank<00:23:00.240> lends<00:23:00.559> loads<00:23:00.720> of<00:23:00.799> money<00:23:01.039> to<00:23:01.120> the
central bank lends loads of money to the
commercial<00:23:01.600> banks<00:23:02.000> and<00:23:02.080> then<00:23:02.240> the<00:23:02.320> commercial
banks need to lend it on
but<00:23:04.400> of<00:23:04.480> course<00:23:04.720> the<00:23:04.880> people<00:23:05.280> who<00:23:05.679> can<00:23:05.919> most
started flying and you might have seen
just<00:23:38.480> overnight<00:23:38.960> last<00:23:39.280> night<00:23:39.600> gold<00:23:39.919> hit<00:23:40.080> a<00:23:40.159> new
so what happened in 2008 was because
they<00:23:53.039> chose<00:23:53.440> just<00:23:53.679> to<00:23:53.760> go<00:23:54.000> with<00:23:54.240> full-on
firstly because they could borrow the
money<00:24:02.320> and<00:24:02.559> secondly<00:24:02.960> because<00:24:03.200> they<00:24:03.440> use<00:24:03.600> that
to push asset prices up
and<00:24:05.360> when<00:24:05.600> asset<00:24:05.919> prices<00:24:06.320> go<00:24:06.559> up<00:24:06.799> who<00:24:06.960> does
benefits the people who own
assets<00:24:10.400> which<00:24:10.559> is<00:24:10.720> rich<00:24:10.960> people<00:24:11.200> again<00:24:12.240> so<00:24:12.480> the
in inequality because of greater access
to<00:24:20.960> money<00:24:21.200> for<00:24:21.360> rich<00:24:21.600> people<00:24:22.000> and<00:24:22.159> also
to money for rich people and also
huge<00:24:23.120> increases<00:24:23.600> in<00:24:23.840> asset<00:24:24.080> prices<00:24:24.480> which<00:24:24.640> are
owned by rich people
what<00:24:26.559> would<00:24:26.799> need<00:24:27.120> to<00:24:27.360> happen<00:24:27.760> in<00:24:27.919> society<00:24:29.120> for
order to get those capitalists
to<00:24:41.200> invest<00:24:41.679> in<00:24:41.919> things<00:24:42.159> like<00:24:42.799> jobs<00:24:43.600> production
investing in new production at the
moment<00:24:55.200> is<00:24:55.279> because<00:24:55.520> the<00:24:55.600> demand<00:24:56.000> isn't<00:24:56.240> there
moment is because the demand isn't there
so<00:24:57.039> it's<00:24:57.440> it's<00:24:57.679> a<00:24:57.840> difficult<00:24:58.400> situation<00:24:58.960> how
i mean basically there's two questions
within<00:25:02.720> your<00:25:02.880> question<00:25:03.360> one<00:25:03.600> is<00:25:03.840> how<00:25:04.080> do<00:25:04.159> you
within your question one is how do you
get<00:25:04.320> them<00:25:04.400> to<00:25:04.559> invest<00:25:04.880> in<00:25:05.120> good<00:25:05.360> things
harmful things but the second question
is<00:25:09.520> how<00:25:09.679> do<00:25:09.760> you<00:25:09.840> get<00:25:09.919> them<00:25:10.000> to<00:25:10.159> invest<00:25:10.559> at<00:25:10.720> all
is how do you get them to invest at all
because<00:25:11.520> at<00:25:11.679> the<00:25:11.760> moment<00:25:12.480> you<00:25:12.559> know<00:25:12.880> like<00:25:13.120> i
because at the moment you know like i
said<00:25:13.440> gold<00:25:13.679> is<00:25:13.919> a<00:25:14.240> record<00:25:14.640> all-time<00:25:15.039> historic
for the economy obviously
lots<00:25:20.000> of<00:25:20.080> stocks<00:25:20.400> are<00:25:20.480> at<00:25:20.640> all-time<00:25:20.960> highs<00:25:21.200> as
is what's profitable i think you
probably<00:25:30.640> do<00:25:30.799> need<00:25:30.960> to<00:25:31.039> create<00:25:31.279> the<00:25:31.440> demand
and i think that's that's difficult to
do<00:25:36.320> without<00:25:36.720> direct<00:25:37.120> some<00:25:37.360> form<00:25:37.520> of<00:25:37.600> direct
provide the customers
but<00:25:48.159> i<00:25:48.240> think<00:25:48.480> the<00:25:48.640> problem<00:25:49.039> is<00:25:49.279> because<00:25:49.600> we
we're not going to get the investment
from<00:25:52.559> the<00:25:52.640> rich<00:25:52.880> so<00:25:53.039> it's<00:25:53.200> a<00:25:53.279> little<00:25:53.440> bit<00:25:54.080> it's
from the rich so it's a little bit it's
a<00:25:54.320> little<00:25:54.480> bit<00:25:54.640> of<00:25:54.720> chicken<00:25:54.960> and<00:25:55.120> egg<00:25:55.279> in<00:25:55.360> the
a little bit of chicken and egg in the
sense<00:25:55.840> you<00:25:56.000> need<00:25:56.159> to<00:25:56.320> get<00:25:56.480> the<00:25:56.640> spending<00:25:57.039> first
but it's very difficult to get the
spending<00:25:59.200> when<00:25:59.279> the<00:25:59.360> rich<00:25:59.600> have<00:25:59.760> all<00:25:59.840> the
is there an argument then that the
better<00:26:03.360> way<00:26:03.520> for<00:26:03.679> a<00:26:03.840> central<00:26:04.240> bank<00:26:04.480> to<00:26:04.720> use
them into everybody's bank account i
mean<00:26:17.360> i<00:26:17.440> know<00:26:17.600> they<00:26:17.760> were<00:26:18.000> talking<00:26:18.320> about<00:26:18.480> that
mean i know they were talking about that
at<00:26:18.720> the<00:26:18.799> beginning<00:26:19.039> of<00:26:19.120> the<00:26:19.200> corona<00:26:19.600> virus
or rather the government weren't but
people<00:26:22.960> were<00:26:23.200> i<00:26:23.279> mean<00:26:23.440> it's<00:26:23.600> interesting<00:26:23.919> to
say that because
i<00:26:24.960> mean<00:26:25.279> this<00:26:25.520> crisis<00:26:25.840> is<00:26:25.919> not<00:26:26.080> identical<00:26:26.480> to
i mean this crisis is not identical to
the<00:26:26.640> last<00:26:26.880> crisis<00:26:27.279> and<00:26:27.440> what<00:26:27.600> has<00:26:27.760> happened<00:26:28.000> so
money that the central bank created
most<00:26:37.120> of<00:26:37.200> it<00:26:37.279> went<00:26:37.520> into<00:26:37.679> the<00:26:37.760> banking<00:26:38.080> system
most of it went into the banking system
first<00:26:38.640> of<00:26:38.799> all<00:26:39.600> some<00:26:39.760> went<00:26:39.919> directly<00:26:40.240> to
to the government essentially and the
government<00:26:46.000> has<00:26:46.159> used<00:26:46.480> a<00:26:46.559> lot<00:26:46.720> of<00:26:46.799> that<00:26:46.880> money
has gone in to the bank accounts of
people<00:26:56.320> who<00:26:56.480> are<00:26:56.559> struggling<00:26:56.960> in<00:26:57.039> this<00:26:57.200> crisis
usage of the furlough scheme
the<00:27:03.600> policy<00:27:04.080> response<00:27:04.480> has<00:27:04.640> been<00:27:04.880> much<00:27:05.200> more
the policy response has been much more
egalitarian<00:27:06.960> in<00:27:07.120> a<00:27:07.200> sense<00:27:07.520> be<00:27:07.679> much<00:27:07.840> more
so far in this crisis
even<00:27:13.679> though<00:27:14.320> the<00:27:14.559> depths<00:27:14.960> of<00:27:15.120> it<00:27:15.200> if<00:27:15.360> you<00:27:15.440> look
much sharper than 2008 actually most
people<00:27:20.000> have<00:27:20.240> not<00:27:20.399> felt<00:27:20.640> anything<00:27:20.960> like<00:27:21.200> the
people have not felt anything like the
kind<00:27:21.520> of<00:27:21.600> economic<00:27:22.159> pain<00:27:22.480> that<00:27:22.720> was<00:27:22.880> felt<00:27:23.120> like
kind of economic pain that was felt like
in<00:27:23.600> 2008<00:27:24.399> yet<00:27:25.360> but<00:27:25.600> what<00:27:25.760> i'm<00:27:26.000> really
contributing to keep works on furlough
from<00:27:31.440> the<00:27:31.600> end<00:27:31.760> of<00:27:31.840> this<00:27:32.000> month<00:27:32.240> which<00:27:32.480> is<00:27:32.559> in
just a few days now
and<00:27:34.640> a<00:27:34.720> lot<00:27:34.880> of<00:27:34.960> workers<00:27:35.279> are<00:27:35.360> going<00:27:35.440> to<00:27:35.520> be
left off so i'm worried that
we've<00:27:37.520> done<00:27:37.760> really<00:27:38.080> well<00:27:38.320> to<00:27:38.480> sort<00:27:38.640> of<00:27:38.799> stave
we've done really well to sort of stave
off<00:27:39.360> the<00:27:39.520> worst<00:27:40.240> human<00:27:40.559> disaster<00:27:41.279> so<00:27:41.520> far<00:27:41.760> in
this crisis so far
but<00:27:43.520> it<00:27:43.679> seems<00:27:43.919> like<00:27:44.080> we're<00:27:44.399> just<00:27:44.559> about<00:27:44.799> to
but it seems like we're just about to
stop<00:27:45.200> doing<00:27:45.440> that<00:27:45.679> and<00:27:45.760> we're<00:27:45.919> just<00:27:46.080> going<00:27:46.159> to
what do you think that it has been
far-sighted<00:27:56.880> in<00:27:57.279> you<00:27:57.440> know<00:27:57.600> in<00:27:57.760> the<00:27:57.919> sense
bank accounts of commercial banks in the
first<00:28:02.880> instance<00:28:03.360> or<00:28:03.520> do<00:28:03.600> you<00:28:03.679> think<00:28:03.840> that<00:28:03.919> was
then and the
kind<00:28:09.440> of<00:28:09.520> true<00:28:09.760> nature<00:28:10.080> of<00:28:10.159> their<00:28:10.320> response<00:28:10.799> is
coming out now
they<00:28:13.039> had<00:28:13.200> to<00:28:13.279> do<00:28:13.440> it<00:28:13.520> they<00:28:13.679> had<00:28:13.919> they<00:28:14.080> had<00:28:14.240> to
do they had to do it
if<00:28:16.640> they<00:28:16.799> had<00:28:16.960> not<00:28:17.200> have<00:28:17.279> done<00:28:17.520> that<00:28:18.080> the<00:28:19.120> it
in this country
if<00:28:22.240> they<00:28:22.399> had<00:28:22.480> not<00:28:22.640> brought<00:28:22.880> in<00:28:22.960> a<00:28:23.039> furlough
if they had not brought in a furlough
scheme<00:28:24.159> it<00:28:24.320> would<00:28:24.480> have<00:28:24.559> been<00:28:24.720> a<00:28:24.799> humanitarian
it would have been unthinkable how bad
it<00:28:28.320> would<00:28:28.480> have<00:28:28.559> been<00:28:28.640> had<00:28:28.799> they<00:28:28.880> not<00:28:29.039> done
that so
as<00:28:30.799> much<00:28:31.039> as<00:28:31.279> it's<00:28:31.440> great<00:28:31.600> that<00:28:31.760> they<00:28:31.919> did<00:28:32.080> do
as much as it's great that they did do
it<00:28:32.720> i<00:28:32.880> don't<00:28:33.039> want<00:28:33.120> to<00:28:33.200> congratulate<00:28:33.679> them<00:28:33.760> too
it i don't want to congratulate them too
much<00:28:34.080> for<00:28:34.159> doing<00:28:34.399> it<00:28:34.480> because<00:28:34.799> every<00:28:35.039> western
much for doing it because every western
country<00:28:35.679> did<00:28:35.840> it<00:28:36.000> because<00:28:36.159> they<00:28:36.320> had<00:28:36.480> to<00:28:36.640> do<00:28:36.799> it
country did it because they had to do it
without<00:28:37.360> doing<00:28:37.520> that<00:28:37.760> it<00:28:37.840> would<00:28:38.000> have<00:28:38.080> been
i can't say that they're noble people
all<00:28:42.720> i<00:28:42.799> can<00:28:42.960> say<00:28:43.120> is<00:28:43.200> they're<00:28:43.360> not<00:28:43.600> complete
all i can say is they're not complete
idiots<00:28:44.480> because<00:28:44.640> they<00:28:44.799> had<00:28:44.960> to<00:28:45.120> do<00:28:45.279> that<00:28:45.440> right
idiots because they had to do that right
they<00:28:46.320> absolutely<00:28:46.720> had<00:28:46.880> to<00:28:46.960> do<00:28:47.120> that<00:28:47.440> i<00:28:47.520> mean
the bbc came out today saying it might
take<00:28:51.120> four<00:28:51.360> years<00:28:51.600> for<00:28:51.760> the<00:28:51.840> economy<00:28:52.240> to
optimistic from where i'm sitting but
obviously<00:28:57.279> i'm<00:28:57.520> not<00:28:57.760> i've<00:28:57.919> never<00:28:58.159> made<00:28:58.399> my
they'll be talking about gdp as a whole
right<00:29:02.559> gdp<00:29:03.120> could<00:29:03.279> recover<00:29:03.679> in<00:29:03.840> four<00:29:04.000> years
right gdp could recover in four years
but<00:29:04.799> i<00:29:04.880> mean<00:29:05.520> gdp<00:29:06.000> took<00:29:06.240> its<00:29:06.320> time<00:29:06.480> to<00:29:06.640> recover
those are the mistakes that we're going
to<00:29:24.000> repeat<00:29:24.320> here<00:29:24.799> so<00:29:25.279> i<00:29:25.360> think<00:29:25.520> the<00:29:25.679> photo
inequality just like rapid in 2008
and<00:29:45.440> we're<00:29:45.679> already<00:29:46.000> starting<00:29:46.320> to<00:29:46.399> see<00:29:46.559> the
and we're already starting to see the
effect<00:29:46.880> on<00:29:47.039> asset<00:29:47.279> markets<00:29:47.919> the<00:29:48.080> gold<00:29:48.399> price
looks like house prices are moving
upwards<00:29:53.919> with<00:29:54.240> we're<00:29:54.399> seeing<00:29:54.640> the<00:29:54.720> exact<00:29:55.039> same
like we saw last time
you<00:30:13.600> have<00:30:13.679> to<00:30:13.840> ask<00:30:14.240> what<00:30:14.320> that's<00:30:14.559> going<00:30:14.640> to<00:30:14.720> do
you have to ask what that's going to do
you<00:30:15.039> know<00:30:15.120> if<00:30:15.200> house<00:30:15.440> prices<00:30:15.760> double<00:30:16.080> again
what does that mean for families that
don't<00:30:21.919> own<00:30:22.080> housing<00:30:22.399> now<00:30:22.799> it<00:30:23.120> basically<00:30:23.520> means
don't own housing now it basically means
they<00:30:24.240> will<00:30:24.480> never<00:30:24.880> ever<00:30:25.200> own<00:30:25.440> housing<00:30:26.000> you're
get a house you know
that<00:30:34.240> that<00:30:34.480> is<00:30:34.840> so<00:30:35.840> you<00:30:36.080> might<00:30:36.240> get<00:30:36.399> a<00:30:36.480> gdp
but it will be at the cost of basically
canceling<00:30:40.000> the<00:30:40.080> bottom<00:30:40.320> half<00:30:40.559> of<00:30:40.640> society<00:30:41.120> and
canceling the bottom half of society and
saying<00:30:41.360> these<00:30:41.520> guys<00:30:41.679> will<00:30:41.840> never<00:30:42.000> own<00:30:42.159> housing
saying these guys will never own housing
ending<00:30:43.039> social<00:30:43.279> mobility<00:30:43.919> so<00:30:45.279> i<00:30:45.360> think<00:30:45.600> we
when we talk about being farsighted we
need<00:30:48.799> to<00:30:48.960> look<00:30:49.120> at<00:30:49.200> what's<00:30:49.440> happening<00:30:49.679> with
because if we make if we keep making the
same<00:30:52.720> mistake<00:30:53.360> of<00:30:53.520> just<00:30:53.760> allowing<00:30:54.159> inequality
same mistake of just allowing inequality
to<00:30:54.799> ratchet<00:30:55.200> up<00:30:55.360> and<00:30:55.520> up<00:30:55.760> and<00:30:55.919> up<00:30:56.080> and<00:30:56.240> up
to ratchet up and up and up and up
then<00:30:57.760> it's<00:30:57.919> going<00:30:58.080> to<00:30:58.159> be<00:30:58.320> disaster<00:30:58.799> for<00:30:58.960> a<00:30:59.039> lot
of people he's not a conventional
economist<00:31:01.760> and<00:31:01.919> i'm<00:31:02.000> not<00:31:02.240> even<00:31:02.559> sure<00:31:02.720> if<00:31:02.880> he's
university economics degrees but he had
the<00:31:07.600> very<00:31:07.919> successful<00:31:08.559> book<00:31:08.880> capital<00:31:09.279> in<00:31:09.440> the
21st century thomas piketty
and<00:31:12.880> he<00:31:13.279> he<00:31:13.519> argues<00:31:13.919> that<00:31:14.080> when<00:31:14.240> returns<00:31:14.720> on
and he he argues that when returns on
capital<00:31:16.080> are<00:31:16.240> high<00:31:16.640> so<00:31:16.799> the<00:31:16.960> asset<00:31:17.360> prices
that you're talking about
and<00:31:19.440> returns<00:31:19.919> on<00:31:20.080> wages<00:31:20.720> are<00:31:20.880> really<00:31:21.200> low<00:31:21.519> and
in the previous years coming up i think
that<00:31:46.080> book<00:31:46.240> came<00:31:46.480> out<00:31:46.559> in<00:31:46.840> 2012<00:31:47.919> maybe<00:31:48.240> 2013.
that book came out in 2012 maybe 2013.
what<00:31:49.440> that<00:31:49.600> did<00:31:49.760> was<00:31:50.000> it<00:31:50.080> really<00:31:50.320> brought
at all so up until pikay brought that
book<00:32:03.279> out<00:32:03.440> it<00:32:03.519> wasn't<00:32:03.840> really<00:32:04.080> in<00:32:04.240> them
book out it wasn't really in them
in<00:32:04.720> the<00:32:04.880> eyes<00:32:05.120> of<00:32:05.200> economies<00:32:05.679> at<00:32:05.840> all<00:32:06.000> and<00:32:06.080> it
in the eyes of economies at all and it
really<00:32:06.399> brought<00:32:06.640> it<00:32:06.720> into<00:32:06.880> the<00:32:06.960> eyes<00:32:07.200> of
really brought it into the eyes of
economy<00:32:07.600> so<00:32:07.679> i<00:32:07.760> think<00:32:07.919> he's<00:32:08.080> done<00:32:08.240> a<00:32:08.320> really
economy so i think he's done a really
great<00:32:09.039> service<00:32:09.440> in<00:32:09.519> doing<00:32:09.840> that<00:32:10.480> in<00:32:10.559> terms<00:32:10.799> of
it's not really the same kind of thing
i'm<00:32:13.840> thinking<00:32:14.240> there's<00:32:14.399> actually<00:32:14.799> a<00:32:14.880> few<00:32:15.200> guys
working with a guy called straub
that<00:32:19.519> are<00:32:19.600> really<00:32:19.840> looking<00:32:20.240> at<00:32:20.399> this<00:32:20.640> idea
that when inequality gets very large
it<00:32:24.320> creates<00:32:24.799> a<00:32:24.880> situation<00:32:25.600> where<00:32:26.000> all<00:32:26.159> of<00:32:26.240> the
it creates a situation where all of the
income<00:32:26.640> is<00:32:26.720> going<00:32:26.880> to<00:32:26.960> the<00:32:27.039> rich<00:32:27.279> and<00:32:27.360> they've
on which to spend it so they end up
either<00:32:30.799> lending<00:32:31.200> it<00:32:31.279> back<00:32:31.440> to<00:32:31.600> the<00:32:31.679> poor
either lending it back to the poor
or<00:32:32.480> buying<00:32:33.120> houses<00:32:33.600> from<00:32:33.760> the<00:32:33.840> middle<00:32:34.159> class
or buying houses from the middle class
and<00:32:35.039> it<00:32:35.120> means<00:32:35.360> that<00:32:35.600> inequality<00:32:36.159> leads<00:32:36.320> to
because if all the money goes to the
rich<00:32:39.679> they<00:32:39.840> use<00:32:40.080> that<00:32:40.159> money<00:32:40.399> to<00:32:40.480> buy<00:32:40.640> houses
rich they use that money to buy houses
that<00:32:41.600> pushes<00:32:41.919> house<00:32:42.159> prices<00:32:42.559> up<00:32:42.799> which<00:32:43.039> means
that pushes house prices up which means
maybe<00:32:44.080> ordinary<00:32:44.559> people<00:32:44.799> who<00:32:44.880> might<00:32:45.039> not<00:32:45.200> be
maybe ordinary people who might not be
too<00:32:45.679> well<00:32:45.919> off<00:32:46.159> they<00:32:46.320> think<00:32:46.480> well<00:32:46.640> i'm<00:32:46.720> going
too well off they think well i'm going
to<00:32:46.880> sell<00:32:47.120> my<00:32:47.200> house<00:32:47.440> because<00:32:47.519> i<00:32:47.600> could<00:32:47.679> have<00:32:47.760> a
really seeing that in society now
you're<00:32:52.640> seeing<00:32:52.880> that<00:32:52.960> as<00:32:53.120> the<00:32:53.200> roots<00:32:53.440> get
income from their wealth
they<00:32:57.200> use<00:32:57.440> that<00:32:57.600> wealth<00:32:57.840> to<00:32:58.000> buy<00:32:58.159> the<00:32:58.320> rest<00:32:58.559> of
who are looking at this kind of stuff
now<00:33:05.679> these<00:33:05.919> guys<00:33:06.159> mian<00:33:06.480> and<00:33:06.640> sufi<00:33:07.039> and<00:33:07.200> straub
now these guys mian and sufi and straub
that's<00:33:08.559> the<00:33:08.640> kind<00:33:08.799> of<00:33:08.880> analysis<00:33:09.279> i<00:33:09.360> like<00:33:09.519> more
i was kind of wondering if
if<00:33:11.360> we're<00:33:11.519> talking<00:33:11.760> about<00:33:11.919> what<00:33:12.080> we<00:33:12.240> should<00:33:12.399> be
vision the opposition should be building
because<00:33:17.039> it<00:33:17.120> does<00:33:17.279> seem<00:33:17.519> to<00:33:17.760> be<00:33:17.919> a
because it does seem to be a
time<00:33:18.480> they<00:33:18.640> did<00:33:19.120> do<00:33:19.279> that<00:33:19.919> are<00:33:20.080> we<00:33:20.320> are<00:33:20.399> we
saying in the first instance
that<00:33:22.480> you<00:33:22.640> have<00:33:22.799> to<00:33:22.960> stop<00:33:23.360> using<00:33:23.760> gdp<00:33:24.320> as<00:33:24.399> a
wealth it is
so<00:33:34.559> often<00:33:34.799> people<00:33:35.120> say<00:33:35.519> gdp<00:33:36.000> is<00:33:36.080> no<00:33:36.240> good<00:33:36.399> to
that it measures
when<00:33:42.399> you<00:33:42.720> aggregate<00:33:43.279> with<00:33:43.440> the<00:33:43.519> wealth<00:33:43.840> of<00:33:44.000> a
nation you completely erase the
the<00:33:46.240> story<00:33:46.480> of<00:33:46.559> the<00:33:46.640> people<00:33:46.880> who<00:33:46.960> don't<00:33:47.200> hold
the story of the people who don't hold
it<00:33:48.480> so<00:33:48.720> should<00:33:48.960> you<00:33:49.120> in<00:33:49.279> the<00:33:49.360> first<00:33:49.600> instance
it so should you in the first instance
be<00:33:50.080> saying<00:33:50.320> gdp<00:33:50.799> is<00:33:50.880> no<00:33:50.960> longer<00:33:51.279> our<00:33:51.440> thing<00:33:51.919> and
be saying gdp is no longer our thing and
not<00:33:52.320> because<00:33:52.640> we<00:33:52.720> want<00:33:52.880> to<00:33:52.960> measure<00:33:53.279> happiness
during the the brexit debates before the
brexit<00:34:00.640> i<00:34:00.640> don't<00:34:00.799> know<00:34:00.799> if<00:34:00.880> it<00:34:00.960> was<00:34:01.120> question
brexit i don't know if it was question
time<00:34:01.840> there<00:34:02.080> was<00:34:02.240> some<00:34:02.399> conservative<00:34:02.960> mp<00:34:03.200> it
might have been george osborne
on<00:34:04.720> there<00:34:04.960> and<00:34:05.039> it<00:34:05.760> he<00:34:05.919> was<00:34:06.000> talking<00:34:06.320> about<00:34:06.480> how
on there and it he was talking about how
gdp<00:34:07.200> has<00:34:07.279> gone<00:34:07.440> up<00:34:07.600> and<00:34:07.760> up<00:34:07.840> and<00:34:08.000> up<00:34:08.240> and
gdp has gone up and up and up and
some<00:34:08.800> i<00:34:08.879> think<00:34:09.040> it<00:34:09.119> was<00:34:09.280> a<00:34:09.359> woman<00:34:09.599> in<00:34:09.679> the<00:34:09.760> crowd
some i think it was a woman in the crowd
stood<00:34:10.240> up<00:34:10.320> and<00:34:10.399> she<00:34:10.560> shouted<00:34:10.960> out<00:34:11.359> that's<00:34:11.599> your
at the big universities almost everyone
in<00:34:27.919> the<00:34:28.000> department<00:34:28.320> is<00:34:28.480> from<00:34:28.560> a<00:34:28.639> wealthy
very different for rich people
as<00:34:33.599> it<00:34:33.760> is<00:34:34.079> from<00:34:34.320> ordinary<00:34:34.800> people<00:34:35.119> and<00:34:35.919> as<00:34:36.159> gdp
as it is from ordinary people and as gdp
is<00:34:36.639> going<00:34:36.720> up<00:34:36.879> and<00:34:36.960> up<00:34:37.040> and<00:34:37.200> up<00:34:37.280> i<00:34:37.359> think<00:34:37.520> a<00:34:37.599> lot
of people are very aware that
lives<00:34:40.879> maybe<00:34:41.119> haven't<00:34:41.359> gotten<00:34:41.599> better<00:34:41.839> for<00:34:42.000> a
generation younger than me
might<00:34:46.000> feel<00:34:46.240> that<00:34:46.320> their<00:34:46.480> parents<00:34:46.800> lives<00:34:47.040> were
even though gdp goes up and up and up so
i<00:34:50.960> wouldn't<00:34:51.280> say<00:34:51.760> completely<00:34:52.159> throw<00:34:52.480> gdp<00:34:52.960> out
like it's a completely useless measure
of<00:34:54.720> course<00:34:55.040> it<00:34:55.200> is<00:34:55.359> a<00:34:55.440> useful<00:34:55.839> measure<00:34:56.639> but<00:34:56.960> if
of course it is a useful measure but if
gdp<00:34:58.240> is<00:34:58.320> going<00:34:58.560> up<00:34:58.640> and<00:34:58.800> at<00:34:58.960> the<00:34:59.040> same<00:34:59.280> time
gdp is going up and at the same time
loads<00:35:00.320> and<00:35:00.400> loads<00:35:00.640> of<00:35:00.720> people<00:35:01.040> are<00:35:01.119> saying<00:35:01.440> my
we've got a big problem in economics
that<00:35:10.079> very<00:35:10.320> few<00:35:10.480> people<00:35:10.640> with<00:35:10.800> more<00:35:10.880> than<00:35:11.040> any
departments anymore so if ordinary
people<00:35:14.720> are<00:35:14.800> coming<00:35:15.040> to<00:35:15.119> you<00:35:15.280> and<00:35:15.359> saying<00:35:15.520> no
things are not good for us
you<00:35:17.200> have<00:35:17.359> to<00:35:17.520> listen<00:35:17.760> to<00:35:17.920> them<00:35:18.240> i<00:35:18.320> think<00:35:18.640> so
but listen also to ordinary people and
what<00:35:24.880> they're<00:35:25.040> saying<00:35:25.359> and<00:35:25.520> if<00:35:25.599> they<00:35:25.839> say
what they're saying and if they say
we're<00:35:26.320> not<00:35:26.480> happy<00:35:26.800> with<00:35:27.119> what's<00:35:27.359> happening<00:35:27.760> in
answer those questions because like i
said<00:35:32.240> the<00:35:32.320> last<00:35:32.480> two<00:35:32.640> years<00:35:32.800> i<00:35:32.880> did<00:35:33.040> a<00:35:33.119> masters
happening in the real world and
i<00:35:40.480> spoke<00:35:40.800> to<00:35:40.880> one<00:35:40.960> of<00:35:41.040> the<00:35:41.119> professors<00:35:41.520> i<00:35:41.599> said
i spoke to one of the professors i said
to<00:35:41.920> him<00:35:43.280> you<00:35:43.440> know<00:35:43.760> he<00:35:44.000> asked<00:35:44.160> me<00:35:44.320> why<00:35:44.480> are<00:35:44.480> you
to him you know he asked me why are you
so<00:35:45.119> unhappy<00:35:45.440> in<00:35:45.520> the<00:35:45.599> lectures<00:35:46.000> and<00:35:46.079> i<00:35:46.160> said
well because the housing crisis is only
in<00:35:52.800> london<00:35:53.920> and<00:35:54.079> i<00:35:54.160> said<00:35:54.320> well<00:35:54.480> the<00:35:54.560> housing
in london and i said well the housing
crisis<00:35:55.119> is<00:35:55.200> only<00:35:55.280> in<00:35:55.359> london<00:35:55.680> because<00:35:55.839> there's
no jobs outside of london
and<00:35:57.680> he<00:35:57.839> said<00:35:58.000> to<00:35:58.160> me<00:35:58.720> yes<00:35:58.960> there<00:35:59.119> are<00:35:59.280> jobs
and he said to me yes there are jobs
outside<00:35:59.760> of<00:35:59.839> london<00:36:00.320> i've<00:36:00.640> got<00:36:00.800> a<00:36:00.880> job
oxford university
you<00:36:05.599> know<00:36:05.920> if<00:36:06.000> you're<00:36:06.079> going<00:36:06.240> to<00:36:06.320> tell<00:36:06.560> like
you know if you're going to tell like
some<00:36:07.359> guy<00:36:07.599> who's<00:36:07.760> lost<00:36:08.000> his<00:36:08.079> job<00:36:08.240> in<00:36:08.400> a<00:36:08.480> factory
oxford for an economic suppressor why
don't<00:36:13.200> you<00:36:13.280> go<00:36:13.440> and<00:36:13.520> apply<00:36:13.760> for<00:36:13.920> that<00:36:14.160> like
don't you go and apply for that like
it's<00:36:15.680> it's<00:36:16.000> boggles<00:36:16.400> the<00:36:16.560> mind<00:36:17.280> how<00:36:17.520> you<00:36:17.680> know
it's it's boggles the mind how you know
these<00:36:18.160> guys<00:36:18.400> standing<00:36:18.720> there<00:36:18.880> with<00:36:18.960> capes<00:36:19.200> and
in these in the world of economics it
has<00:36:32.800> to<00:36:32.960> be<00:36:33.119> fixed<00:36:33.440> because<00:36:33.680> in<00:36:33.760> the<00:36:33.920> end
has to be fixed because in the end
you<00:36:34.480> end<00:36:34.560> up<00:36:34.640> with<00:36:34.720> a<00:36:34.800> load<00:36:34.960> of<00:36:35.040> rich<00:36:35.280> people
them it's great
we<00:36:38.560> have<00:36:38.640> to<00:36:38.720> fix<00:36:38.960> that<00:36:39.119> and<00:36:39.280> you<00:36:39.440> know<00:36:40.160> part<00:36:40.400> of
we have to fix that and you know part of
that<00:36:40.720> is<00:36:40.960> not<00:36:41.280> just<00:36:41.520> fixating<00:36:42.000> on<00:36:42.160> one<00:36:42.400> measure
that is not just fixating on one measure
i<00:36:42.720> mean<00:36:42.880> the<00:36:43.040> idea<00:36:43.280> that<00:36:43.440> you<00:36:43.520> could
i mean the idea that you could
reduce<00:36:44.560> boil<00:36:44.800> down<00:36:44.960> the<00:36:45.040> whole<00:36:45.280> economy<00:36:45.680> to<00:36:45.839> a
or something like this it is absurd
isn't<00:36:50.000> it<00:36:50.160> and<00:36:50.240> the<00:36:50.400> fact<00:36:50.560> that<00:36:50.640> so<00:36:50.800> many
this high inequality system could we now
like<00:37:11.119> come<00:37:11.359> on<00:37:11.440> to<00:37:11.599> talk<00:37:11.920> about<00:37:12.160> what<00:37:12.320> the
doing because presumably this means
and<00:37:18.000> i<00:37:18.079> think<00:37:18.320> it<00:37:18.400> was<00:37:18.640> implied<00:37:19.040> by<00:37:19.280> what<00:37:19.440> you
the private sector and the very wealthy
with<00:37:34.400> all<00:37:34.480> the<00:37:34.640> capital<00:37:35.200> to<00:37:35.359> be<00:37:35.520> investing
with all the capital to be investing
productively<00:37:37.359> at<00:37:37.440> the<00:37:37.520> moment<00:37:38.320> it's<00:37:38.480> going<00:37:38.640> to
be that the government will need
to<00:37:40.800> take<00:37:41.119> up<00:37:41.359> the<00:37:41.599> slack<00:37:42.400> say<00:37:42.720> is<00:37:42.880> that<00:37:43.200> right
to take up the slack say is that right
and<00:37:44.240> if<00:37:44.400> it's<00:37:44.640> right<00:37:45.119> how<00:37:45.359> does<00:37:45.520> the
government pay for it
yeah<00:37:47.680> what<00:37:47.920> i<00:37:47.920> would<00:37:48.079> say<00:37:48.240> first<00:37:48.560> of<00:37:48.640> all<00:37:48.800> is
i just want to be clear i'm not against
the<00:37:53.040> monetary<00:37:53.440> expansion<00:37:54.000> i<00:37:54.079> don't<00:37:54.320> think<00:37:54.400> the
the monetary expansion i don't think the
monetary<00:37:54.880> expansion<00:37:55.359> is<00:37:55.440> a<00:37:55.520> bad<00:37:55.760> thing<00:37:55.920> in<00:37:56.000> and
monetary expansion is a bad thing in and
of<00:37:56.240> itself<00:37:56.560> you<00:37:56.640> know<00:37:56.800> if<00:37:56.880> you<00:37:56.960> go<00:37:57.040> back<00:37:57.200> and
to this huge increase in inequality
and<00:38:16.000> that<00:38:16.240> huge<00:38:16.480> increase<00:38:16.800> in<00:38:16.880> inequality<00:38:17.440> has
led to long-term stagnation
so<00:38:20.320> i<00:38:20.400> don't<00:38:20.560> want<00:38:20.720> to<00:38:20.880> say<00:38:21.040> i'm<00:38:21.119> opposed<00:38:21.440> to
inequality that has been caused
because<00:38:26.960> once<00:38:27.200> you<00:38:27.359> then<00:38:27.520> have<00:38:27.680> huge<00:38:27.920> levels
of inequality then you have the
situation<00:38:30.160> where<00:38:30.400> all<00:38:30.480> of<00:38:30.560> the<00:38:30.720> income<00:38:31.040> and
situation where all of the income and
all<00:38:31.280> of<00:38:31.359> the<00:38:31.440> wealth<00:38:31.760> is<00:38:31.839> being<00:38:32.000> held<00:38:32.160> by<00:38:32.400> very
and what we know about very rich people
is<00:38:35.280> they<00:38:35.520> don't<00:38:35.760> spend<00:38:36.160> a<00:38:36.240> lot<00:38:36.400> of<00:38:36.480> money
is they don't spend a lot of money
comparative<00:38:37.520> to<00:38:37.680> how<00:38:37.760> much<00:38:37.920> money<00:38:38.160> they<00:38:38.320> have
comparative to how much money they have
so<00:38:39.200> once<00:38:39.520> all<00:38:39.680> the<00:38:39.760> money<00:38:40.000> gets<00:38:40.240> captured<00:38:40.560> by
he's not gonna eat three million meals a
day<00:38:56.240> he's<00:38:56.480> not<00:38:56.560> gonna<00:38:56.800> spend<00:38:57.040> enough<00:38:57.280> money<00:38:57.440> to
so we need to address this inequality
question<00:39:00.880> so<00:39:01.440> what<00:39:01.599> i<00:39:01.680> would<00:39:01.920> say<00:39:02.160> is
question so what i would say is
look<00:39:03.359> throw<00:39:03.599> the<00:39:03.680> money<00:39:04.000> in<00:39:04.240> because<00:39:04.400> it's
helping it's working that has
managed<00:39:06.320> us<00:39:06.400> to<00:39:06.560> get<00:39:07.680> so<00:39:07.920> far<00:39:08.240> in<00:39:08.400> this<00:39:08.560> current
but you have to address this inequality
you<00:39:12.880> have<00:39:13.040> to<00:39:13.200> find<00:39:13.520> a<00:39:13.680> way<00:39:13.839> to<00:39:14.000> address<00:39:14.240> this
crisis has been a wealth tax
and<00:39:18.960> when<00:39:19.119> i<00:39:19.200> say<00:39:19.440> wealth<00:39:19.599> tax<00:39:19.839> i<00:39:19.920> want<00:39:20.000> to<00:39:20.079> make
it clear i'm not talking about
you<00:39:22.720> know<00:39:23.280> doctors<00:39:23.760> and<00:39:23.920> lawyers<00:39:24.400> or<00:39:24.640> nurses
you know doctors and lawyers or nurses
and<00:39:25.200> teachers<00:39:25.680> who<00:39:25.760> might<00:39:25.920> be<00:39:26.079> earning<00:39:26.320> higher
people who maybe have net wealth of over
5<00:39:32.480> million<00:39:33.040> 10<00:39:33.200> million<00:39:33.520> this<00:39:33.680> kind<00:39:33.839> of<00:39:33.920> money
5 million 10 million this kind of money
these<00:39:34.800> guys<00:39:35.040> who<00:39:35.200> are<00:39:35.280> gonna<00:39:35.520> make<00:39:35.839> huge
amounts of money in this crisis
just<00:39:37.839> like<00:39:38.000> they<00:39:38.160> did<00:39:38.400> in<00:39:38.480> the<00:39:38.560> last<00:39:38.880> crisis<00:39:39.520> we
just like they did in the last crisis we
need<00:39:39.839> to<00:39:39.920> find<00:39:40.160> ways<00:39:40.400> to<00:39:40.480> make<00:39:40.640> these<00:39:40.800> guys
they just get richer and richer every
year<00:39:44.400> they<00:39:44.720> suck<00:39:44.960> the<00:39:45.040> wealth<00:39:45.359> out<00:39:45.520> of<00:39:45.599> the
year they suck the wealth out of the
middle<00:39:46.000> class<00:39:46.240> and<00:39:46.320> you<00:39:46.400> can<00:39:46.560> see<00:39:46.800> the
that that wealth is not disappearing
it's<00:39:51.040> going<00:39:51.280> up<00:39:51.359> to<00:39:51.520> the<00:39:51.599> very<00:39:51.760> very<00:39:52.000> riches
it's going up to the very very riches
so<00:39:52.880> i<00:39:52.960> think<00:39:53.200> it's<00:39:53.440> really<00:39:53.680> important<00:39:54.079> that<00:39:54.160> we
so i think it's really important that we
think<00:39:54.960> think<00:39:55.200> about<00:39:55.440> how<00:39:55.599> can<00:39:55.839> we<00:39:55.920> address
looking at the tax system
my<00:40:00.880> concern<00:40:01.280> is<00:40:01.359> that<00:40:01.440> when<00:40:01.599> we<00:40:01.760> come<00:40:01.920> out<00:40:02.079> of
my concern is that when we come out of
this<00:40:02.400> people<00:40:02.640> are<00:40:02.720> going<00:40:02.800> to<00:40:02.880> look<00:40:03.119> at<00:40:03.599> how<00:40:03.760> can
and if you look at how to raise revenues
you're<00:40:06.640> always<00:40:06.800> going<00:40:06.960> to<00:40:07.040> find<00:40:07.280> it's<00:40:07.440> easier
but if we do that we're not going to fix
inequality<00:40:14.560> and<00:40:14.640> we're<00:40:14.720> going<00:40:14.800> to<00:40:14.960> end<00:40:15.119> up
term
which<00:40:17.280> is<00:40:17.359> going<00:40:17.440> to<00:40:17.520> lead<00:40:17.760> us<00:40:17.839> to<00:40:18.000> more<00:40:18.160> and
so what i'm pushing for at the moment is
a<00:40:22.480> wealth<00:40:22.800> tax<00:40:23.200> on<00:40:23.440> very<00:40:23.599> wealthy<00:40:23.920> individuals
it's not going to be easy to do it needs
to<00:40:26.720> be<00:40:26.880> well<00:40:27.119> planned<00:40:27.520> and<00:40:27.599> well<00:40:27.839> designed
to be well planned and well designed
and<00:40:28.560> it<00:40:28.640> might<00:40:28.800> even<00:40:29.040> require<00:40:29.599> some<00:40:29.839> degree<00:40:30.079> of
international cooperation
now<00:40:31.920> that's<00:40:32.079> not<00:40:32.240> going<00:40:32.319> to<00:40:32.480> be<00:40:32.640> easy<00:40:32.880> but
now that's not going to be easy but
right<00:40:33.359> now<00:40:33.680> every<00:40:34.000> single<00:40:34.319> country<00:40:34.640> in<00:40:34.720> the
so this is an unbelievable opportunity
for<00:40:38.240> us<00:40:38.319> to<00:40:38.480> fix<00:40:38.720> this<00:40:38.880> problem<00:40:39.280> and<00:40:39.440> if<00:40:39.599> we
it's just going to get worse inequality
will<00:40:42.480> get<00:40:42.640> bigger<00:40:42.880> and<00:40:42.960> bigger<00:40:43.520> house<00:40:43.839> prices
impossible for ordinary people
so<00:40:51.040> what<00:40:51.280> i'm<00:40:51.359> pushing<00:40:51.599> for<00:40:51.760> at<00:40:51.760> the<00:40:51.839> moment<00:40:52.160> is
so what i'm pushing for at the moment is
a<00:40:52.319> wealth<00:40:52.640> tax<00:40:53.359> it's<00:40:53.440> not<00:40:53.599> going<00:40:53.760> to<00:40:53.839> be<00:40:54.000> quick
a wealth tax it's not going to be quick
it's<00:40:54.319> not<00:40:54.480> going<00:40:54.560> to<00:40:54.640> be<00:40:54.800> easy<00:40:55.200> but<00:40:55.440> it's<00:40:55.680> i
it's not going to be easy but it's i
think<00:40:56.000> it's<00:40:56.160> vital<00:40:56.480> if<00:40:56.560> you<00:40:56.640> want<00:40:56.800> to<00:40:56.880> avoid
in this week's extra time we asked gary
for<00:41:32.160> his<00:41:32.400> thoughts<00:41:32.720> on<00:41:32.880> whether<00:41:33.200> the<00:41:33.359> system
predictions not political ones
so<00:42:00.560> with<00:42:00.800> that<00:42:01.119> massive<00:42:01.520> caveat<00:42:02.079> aside<00:42:02.960> can<00:42:03.200> i
take the liberty of asking you
whether<00:42:05.680> you<00:42:05.839> think<00:42:06.160> that<00:42:06.319> there's<00:42:06.720> a<00:42:06.960> link
made since 2008 and the type of politics
we've<00:42:14.960> got<00:42:15.440> since<00:42:15.800> 2008<00:42:17.119> which<00:42:17.520> with<00:42:17.760> a<00:42:17.920> few
the globe and it
not<00:42:24.079> just<00:42:24.400> in<00:42:24.560> europe<00:42:25.280> the<00:42:25.520> rise<00:42:26.000> of<00:42:26.240> quite
not just in europe the rise of quite
nasty<00:42:27.599> strong<00:42:28.079> man<00:42:28.720> and<00:42:28.800> they<00:42:29.040> are<00:42:29.440> men
that we did a podcast on
to<00:42:35.359> trump<00:42:35.680> in<00:42:35.839> the<00:42:35.920> united<00:42:36.480> states<00:42:37.359> and<00:42:37.839> you
to trump in the united states and you
know<00:42:38.079> trump<00:42:38.480> to<00:42:38.640> use<00:42:38.800> trump<00:42:39.119> as<00:42:39.280> an<00:42:39.440> example<00:42:40.000> i
from a wealth tax has cut
a<00:42:53.280> huge<00:42:53.520> tax<00:42:53.839> cuts<00:42:54.079> for<00:42:54.240> the<00:42:54.319> rich<00:42:54.960> but
nonetheless in terms of the
political<00:42:57.440> language<00:42:58.000> he<00:42:58.240> used<00:42:58.720> to<00:42:58.880> take<00:42:59.280> power
political language he used to take power
back<00:43:00.240> in<00:43:00.520> 2016<00:43:01.839> it<00:43:01.920> was<00:43:02.319> very<00:43:02.800> very
isn't working for people
and<00:43:10.960> it<00:43:11.119> seems<00:43:11.520> that<00:43:11.520> that<00:43:12.720> argument<00:43:13.599> has<00:43:13.920> been
by the far right globally generally
and<00:43:18.880> not<00:43:19.119> the<00:43:19.280> left<00:43:19.599> so<00:43:19.839> is<00:43:20.000> there<00:43:20.160> a<00:43:20.319> link
choices yeah that's a good question
i<00:43:26.800> mean<00:43:27.040> i'll<00:43:27.280> stress<00:43:27.599> before<00:43:27.839> i<00:43:28.000> answer<00:43:28.240> that
so politics of course i've got opinions
like<00:43:33.680> everyone<00:43:34.000> but<00:43:34.160> you<00:43:34.240> know<00:43:34.400> take<00:43:34.560> what<00:43:34.640> i
say with a pinch of salt
what<00:43:36.480> i'll<00:43:36.640> say<00:43:36.880> is<00:43:37.760> i<00:43:37.920> come<00:43:38.160> from<00:43:38.640> quite<00:43:38.800> a
i think that people that i grew up with
they<00:43:43.520> feel<00:43:43.680> that<00:43:43.839> things<00:43:44.079> are<00:43:44.160> not<00:43:44.240> getting
they feel things are getting more
difficult<00:43:47.359> and<00:43:47.680> i<00:43:47.760> think<00:43:47.920> they<00:43:48.079> feel<00:43:48.319> ignored
better you know that that's that's the
sense<00:44:00.560> that<00:44:00.640> i<00:44:00.800> get<00:44:01.040> you<00:44:01.119> know<00:44:01.359> from
sense that i get you know from
from<00:44:02.800> people<00:44:03.040> i<00:44:03.119> grew<00:44:03.280> up<00:44:03.359> with<00:44:03.839> people<00:44:04.079> in<00:44:04.160> my
family people i speak to
i<00:44:06.720> i<00:44:06.880> think<00:44:07.040> a<00:44:07.119> lot<00:44:07.200> of<00:44:07.280> that<00:44:07.440> you<00:44:07.599> know<00:44:07.839> i'm
i i think a lot of that you know i'm
sure<00:44:08.160> it's<00:44:08.240> not<00:44:08.400> 100<00:44:08.960> economic<00:44:09.359> but<00:44:09.520> i<00:44:09.520> think<00:44:09.680> a
lot of that is economic
people<00:44:11.200> just<00:44:11.440> feel<00:44:11.680> you<00:44:11.760> know<00:44:12.000> like<00:44:13.040> you<00:44:13.119> know
people just feel you know like you know
my<00:44:13.599> dad<00:44:13.839> he<00:44:13.920> never<00:44:14.079> went<00:44:14.240> to<00:44:14.400> university<00:44:15.040> you
my dad he never went to university you
know<00:44:15.359> he<00:44:15.440> just<00:44:15.599> worked<00:44:15.839> for<00:44:15.920> the<00:44:16.000> post<00:44:16.240> office
know he just worked for the post office
his<00:44:16.560> whole<00:44:16.800> life<00:44:17.040> but<00:44:17.280> he's<00:44:17.359> got<00:44:17.520> a<00:44:17.599> house<00:44:18.000> he
struggle to live
on<00:44:26.880> you<00:44:27.040> know<00:44:27.520> just<00:44:27.839> going<00:44:28.079> to<00:44:28.160> get<00:44:28.240> a<00:44:28.319> job<00:44:28.480> at<00:44:28.560> a
with just one parent working so i think
people<00:44:32.240> feel<00:44:32.400> that<00:44:32.560> things<00:44:32.720> are<00:44:32.880> not<00:44:32.960> getting
they've lost faith in politicians and
you<00:44:39.760> know<00:44:40.640> i<00:44:40.720> mean<00:44:40.880> i<00:44:41.119> i've<00:44:41.359> lost<00:44:41.599> faith<00:44:41.839> in
economists to be honest you know
i<00:44:45.119> mean<00:44:45.280> people<00:44:45.599> also<00:44:46.319> just<00:44:46.480> like<00:44:46.640> i<00:44:46.720> said
years you know
people<00:44:52.160> hear<00:44:52.319> that<00:44:52.720> they<00:44:52.880> get<00:44:53.119> the<00:44:53.280> idea<00:44:53.599> that
people hear that they get the idea that
the<00:44:53.839> people<00:44:54.160> in<00:44:54.240> charge<00:44:54.560> have<00:44:54.640> got<00:44:54.720> no<00:44:54.880> idea
so if that's what everybody thinks then
if<00:44:58.560> some<00:44:58.720> new<00:44:58.960> guy<00:44:59.119> turns<00:44:59.440> up<00:44:59.599> and<00:44:59.760> says<00:44:59.920> that
i'm one of you
i'm<00:45:01.119> with<00:45:01.359> you<00:45:01.520> guys<00:45:02.319> i'll<00:45:02.560> lead<00:45:02.800> you<00:45:02.960> out<00:45:03.119> of
this you know
and<00:45:04.720> he<00:45:04.800> goes<00:45:04.960> and<00:45:05.119> have<00:45:05.200> a<00:45:05.359> as<00:45:05.520> a<00:45:05.599> point<00:45:05.839> in<00:45:05.920> the
they'll be down because you know they
these<00:45:10.400> guys<00:45:10.560> need<00:45:10.720> help<00:45:10.880> and<00:45:11.040> they're<00:45:11.119> not
these guys need help and they're not
getting<00:45:11.520> it<00:45:11.680> and<00:45:11.760> they<00:45:11.920> feel<00:45:12.079> that<00:45:12.160> they<00:45:12.319> don't
political expert you know
but<00:45:16.720> i<00:45:16.880> think<00:45:17.040> the<00:45:17.200> economic<00:45:17.760> situation<00:45:18.240> for<00:45:18.400> a
but i think the economic situation for a
lot<00:45:18.560> of<00:45:18.640> people<00:45:18.800> is<00:45:18.960> not<00:45:19.040> good<00:45:19.280> they<00:45:19.440> can't<00:45:19.599> get
you know if the mainstream political
parties<00:45:26.079> are<00:45:26.160> not<00:45:26.319> able<00:45:26.480> to<00:45:26.640> offer<00:45:26.960> it
parties are not able to offer it
then<00:45:28.160> they'll<00:45:28.319> look<00:45:28.480> for<00:45:28.640> alternatives<00:45:29.359> so<00:45:29.520> i
in that situation now
we<00:45:37.280> need<00:45:37.359> to<00:45:37.440> take<00:45:37.599> it<00:45:37.680> upon<00:45:38.000> ourselves<00:45:38.400> to
we need to take it upon ourselves to
engage<00:45:39.040> with<00:45:39.200> people<00:45:39.440> who<00:45:39.599> are<00:45:39.680> not<00:45:39.839> as
and ask them why are you unhappy what's
wrong<00:45:42.880> you<00:45:43.040> know<00:45:43.520> we<00:45:43.680> need<00:45:43.839> to<00:45:43.920> bring<00:45:44.079> them
wrong you know we need to bring them
into<00:45:44.400> the<00:45:44.480> political<00:45:44.800> process<00:45:45.200> because<00:45:45.440> if<00:45:45.520> we
then they're easy game for anyone who
turns<00:45:47.760> up<00:45:48.000> you<00:45:48.079> know<00:45:48.240> and<00:45:48.400> i<00:45:48.480> think<00:45:48.560> that's<00:45:48.720> a
yeah i completely agree one of the
research<00:45:52.160> projects<00:45:52.560> we<00:45:52.720> do<00:45:52.880> at<00:45:53.040> the<00:45:53.119> lsc<00:45:53.680> has
classic center of the stereotype
of<00:46:05.680> the<00:46:05.839> brexit<00:46:06.560> vote<00:46:06.880> of<00:46:06.960> course<00:46:07.359> you<00:46:07.440> know
that the system isn't working for us
that<00:46:22.960> it<00:46:23.200> in<00:46:23.280> terms<00:46:23.599> of<00:46:23.760> its<00:46:23.920> economic<00:46:24.560> profile
that it in terms of its economic profile
it<00:46:25.680> tends<00:46:26.000> to<00:46:26.160> have<00:46:26.960> very<00:46:27.280> low<00:46:27.599> wages
obviously as you would argue
a<00:46:38.000> proxy<00:46:38.480> for<00:46:38.640> whether<00:46:38.880> people<00:46:39.119> want<00:46:39.359> to<00:46:39.440> live
there a proxy for demand right
so<00:46:41.839> you<00:46:42.079> get<00:46:42.240> this<00:46:42.480> profile<00:46:43.040> of<00:46:43.200> quite<00:46:43.520> middle
of the road
towns<00:46:46.480> and<00:46:46.960> there<00:46:47.280> i<00:46:47.359> guess<00:46:47.599> it<00:46:47.760> leads<00:46:48.079> me<00:46:48.319> on
towns and there i guess it leads me on
to<00:46:48.720> an<00:46:48.880> economics<00:46:49.680> question<00:46:50.240> because<00:46:50.560> one<00:46:50.720> of
the things that
you<00:46:52.319> see<00:46:52.560> in<00:46:52.640> mansfield<00:46:53.280> is<00:46:53.440> the<00:46:53.920> the<00:46:54.240> whole
so one of the things that we've
emphasized<00:47:08.000> on<00:47:08.400> in<00:47:08.480> this<00:47:08.720> discussion<00:47:09.280> so<00:47:09.520> far
emphasized on in this discussion so far
is<00:47:10.400> the<00:47:10.640> role<00:47:10.880> of<00:47:10.960> the<00:47:11.200> state<00:47:12.160> in<00:47:12.400> raising
way that it could be done and i guess
this<00:47:18.960> is<00:47:19.040> the<00:47:19.280> question<00:47:20.079> it<00:47:20.160> would<00:47:20.480> be<00:47:20.720> raising
moment vis-a-vis capital
yeah<00:47:37.920> i<00:47:38.000> think<00:47:39.119> this<00:47:39.359> is<00:47:39.680> these<00:47:39.920> are<00:47:40.000> all
yeah i think this is these are all
important<00:47:40.400> things<00:47:40.640> to<00:47:40.720> do<00:47:40.880> you<00:47:40.960> know<00:47:41.119> you<00:47:41.359> need
wealth distribution and wealth
inequality<00:47:48.240> so<00:47:49.359> as<00:47:49.520> much<00:47:49.760> as<00:47:49.839> you<00:47:50.000> need<00:47:50.079> to
more organizational power i think you
also<00:47:53.839> need<00:47:54.079> they<00:47:54.240> also<00:47:54.480> need<00:47:54.640> to<00:47:54.720> get<00:47:54.960> more
and i don't think we can do that unless
we<00:47:58.880> extract<00:47:59.359> some<00:47:59.520> demand<00:47:59.839> from<00:48:00.000> the<00:48:00.079> rich<00:48:00.319> i
mansfield i've never been to manchester
so<00:48:04.800> but<00:48:05.760> i'll<00:48:05.920> put<00:48:06.079> this<00:48:06.240> on<00:48:06.319> my<00:48:06.480> website<00:48:07.040> um
so but i'll put this on my website um
when<00:48:08.000> i<00:48:08.079> talk<00:48:08.240> about<00:48:08.400> the<00:48:08.480> effects<00:48:08.720> of
when i talk about the effects of
inequality<00:48:09.200> on<00:48:09.359> an<00:48:09.440> economy<00:48:09.839> and<00:48:09.920> my<00:48:10.079> website
i talk about if you have a very unequal
economy<00:48:15.040> then<00:48:15.280> all<00:48:15.359> of<00:48:15.520> the<00:48:15.599> wealth<00:48:15.839> is<00:48:15.920> held
by a small group
of<00:48:17.680> course<00:48:18.000> all<00:48:18.160> of<00:48:18.240> the<00:48:18.319> jobs<00:48:18.559> are<00:48:18.640> going<00:48:18.800> to
of course all of the jobs are going to
be<00:48:18.960> where<00:48:19.119> those<00:48:19.359> people<00:48:19.680> are<00:48:20.400> and<00:48:20.559> if<00:48:20.640> you
and cambridge and ski villages but
what<00:48:32.079> do<00:48:32.240> these<00:48:32.559> places<00:48:32.880> have<00:48:33.040> in<00:48:33.119> common<00:48:33.680> it's
where rich people spend their time
the<00:48:36.000> place<00:48:36.240> where<00:48:36.400> rich<00:48:36.640> people<00:48:36.960> study<00:48:37.280> are
the place where rich people study are
expensive<00:48:38.000> the<00:48:38.160> place<00:48:38.400> where<00:48:38.640> rich<00:48:38.800> people<00:48:38.960> go
on holiday are expensive
because<00:48:40.720> if<00:48:40.800> you<00:48:40.880> give<00:48:41.119> all<00:48:41.200> of<00:48:41.359> the<00:48:41.440> money<00:48:41.680> to
only get a job
if<00:48:44.880> they're<00:48:45.119> near<00:48:45.280> the<00:48:45.440> rich<00:48:45.680> people<00:48:45.920> if<00:48:46.079> they
if they're near the rich people if they
can<00:48:46.319> serve<00:48:46.559> the<00:48:46.640> rich<00:48:46.800> people<00:48:47.119> somehow<00:48:47.520> so<00:48:47.760> it
obviously leads to a situation
where<00:48:50.880> you<00:48:51.200> gut<00:48:51.440> the<00:48:51.599> rest<00:48:51.760> of<00:48:51.920> the<00:48:52.000> country
activity geographically as well
so<00:49:09.280> i'm<00:49:09.440> not<00:49:09.599> an<00:49:09.680> expert<00:49:09.920> on<00:49:10.000> workers<00:49:10.319> rights
so i'm not an expert on workers rights
and<00:49:10.640> unions<00:49:11.200> so<00:49:11.359> i<00:49:11.440> don't<00:49:11.599> want<00:49:11.680> to
and unions so i don't want to
say<00:49:12.400> too<00:49:12.559> much<00:49:12.800> on<00:49:13.280> lots<00:49:13.440> of<00:49:13.520> people<00:49:13.760> i'm<00:49:13.839> sure
say too much on lots of people i'm sure
have<00:49:14.319> more<00:49:14.559> informed<00:49:14.880> opinions<00:49:15.200> than<00:49:15.359> me<00:49:15.839> but
to own houses because
people<00:49:24.640> are<00:49:24.720> losing<00:49:25.040> that<00:49:25.200> right<00:49:25.359> now<00:49:25.440> and<00:49:25.520> i
people are losing that right now and i
don't<00:49:25.680> want<00:49:25.760> to<00:49:25.839> lose<00:49:26.000> sight<00:49:26.160> of<00:49:26.319> that<00:49:26.480> and<00:49:26.640> if
we have a more equal distribution
then<00:49:28.720> the<00:49:28.800> people<00:49:29.119> in<00:49:29.200> mansfield<00:49:29.680> can<00:49:29.839> work
then the people in mansfield can work
for<00:49:30.160> each<00:49:30.400> other<00:49:31.040> and<00:49:31.119> they<00:49:31.280> can<00:49:31.440> pay<00:49:31.599> each
for each other and they can pay each
other<00:49:31.920> and<00:49:32.079> they<00:49:32.160> can<00:49:32.319> get<00:49:32.559> good<00:49:32.800> wages<00:49:33.200> like
but if we give all the money to you know
100<00:49:35.920> families<00:49:36.319> in<00:49:36.400> london<00:49:36.880> it's<00:49:37.040> always<00:49:37.280> going
to be difficult for them people
in<00:49:39.280> in<00:49:39.440> all<00:49:39.520> the<00:49:39.599> rest<00:49:39.760> of<00:49:39.839> the<00:49:39.920> country<00:49:40.240> to