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How to stop the economy from collapsing

March 16, 2025
Wealth Inequality Enough is Enough Tax Wealth Not Work Economics of Covid Rich get Richer Poor get Poorer Economics Explained Tax the Rich End Austerity Billionaire Poverty
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Okay. Welcome back to Garys Economics.

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Today

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we are finally going to explain

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how we can stop the economy from collapsing.

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Okay, so in the last couple of months,

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I've been on tour.

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I've been up and down the country a couple of times,

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we've had a massive press campaign,

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so I've been all over the TV, radio, the internet,

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basically explaining that the economy is collapsing,

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that it will continue to collapse,

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and that ordinary families

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will be driven into poverty,

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that our kids and our grandkids

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won't be able to afford homes and financial security.

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And,

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we've been getting a lot of press,

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and that has obviously been

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basically worrying a lot of people,

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people should be worried because this is happening.

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And people are asking me, okay, Gary, what can we do?

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How can we stop that?

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And, I’ve

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spent quite a lot of time explaining the problem,

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but perhaps not so much explaining

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what we can do to stop the problem.

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So today, what I'm going to try my best to do

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is explain

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really clearly, as much as possible

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from the ground up,

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how I think we can stop

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this economic collapse from happening.

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All right.

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So the very first thing we need to do

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is just recap very quickly what the economic problem

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actually is in its most basic terms.

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And I'm going to try to explain that

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in a simple diagram, which I'm going to draw here.

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Okay. So we've got these four groups in society.

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We've got the working class,

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we've got the middle class,

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you've got the government and we've got the rich.

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Now for most of history and in most of the world today,

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pretty much all of the wealth in society,

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the land, the property, the natural resources,

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the businesses are owned by the rich.

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But for a period of time after the Second World War,

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we had a situation where basically all of these groups

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held a decent amount of wealth.

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So in my parents generation,

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it was normal for even working class families

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to have a pension

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and own their own property, for example.

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So we had a period where all of these groups

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had a decent amount of wealth,

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but the rich had more,

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and especially after their taxes were cut in the 80s,

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they started to accumulate more and more.

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And that meant that

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when other groups in society

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wanted to access this wealth, wanted to use this

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wealth, wanted to use

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housing, property, natural resources,

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buildings, they had to pay

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rents, profits, dividends to the rich,

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and wealth started to flow

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away from these other groups and towards the rich.

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And these flows

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really started to increase,

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especially during the 2008 crisis

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and during the Covid crisis.

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And it led to a situation where really

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there was very large scale transfer of wealth,

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and that is still ongoing.

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And the end result

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was that the working class lost pretty much

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all their wealth and got into a bit of debt as well.

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The government is now massively in negative wealth,

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so they've only got debt.

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And the middle class,

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they kept some of their wealth, but not so much.

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The wealth of the rich

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just got bigger and bigger and bigger and bigger,

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especially during Covid.

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What this meant was

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because these groups of society,

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who traditionally are the big spenders

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in terms of proportion of their wealth,

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were losing their wealth.

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Spending fell, wages fell

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and because these guys have much more wealth now

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and these guys have less

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these transfer payments

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which you have to make to

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use wealth, access resources, went up

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because you've got less resources now they've got more.

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So you need to pay to use

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a greater amount of resources.

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So these flows increased.

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And now we're in a situation

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where basically these groups are basically wiped out.

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The working class has basically nothing left.

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These guys already live

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in increasingly desperate poverty.

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The government is, like, totally bankrupted,

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they're out.

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And the middle class has just this little bit left,

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which they're hanging on to,

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but it's gradually being sucked out.

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And, before long, they will be gone too.

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And then you end up in this situation

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where basically the rich own everything.

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You have no middle class, nobody else owns anything.

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And an economy like that looks like,

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looks like Nigeria, looks like India, looks like Brazil.

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And basically you have very broad poverty.

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If you want to fix this,

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you need to get wealth flowing back

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in the other direction.

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And, there are different ways to do this.

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In theory, you can do it without taxes.

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And if you are interested in non-tax solutions

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for getting ordinary families their wealth back,

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we have a video

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called The Wealth Time Limit, which I did years ago.

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But realistically,

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I think you're only realistic hope

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of getting the wealth back in the working class,

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back in the middle class, getting wealth

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to flow away

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from the rich is, to quote the Dutch historian

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Bregman, “Taxes, taxes,

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taxes”.

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I do really think this is the only way.

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I know it's difficult because the rich will oppose it,

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but I think

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unless we can get much higher

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levels of tax on the rich,

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I don't think there is any way we can get

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that wealth back to working

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class and middle class families.

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So if we're talking about tax,

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I always think

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when we are discussing the question of

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how can we tax the rich more,

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tax working families less,

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get wealth flowing back to working class families.

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I always think it's really,

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really helpful to break that question of tax down

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into two completely separate questions.

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Question one,

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what specific changes do we want in the tax system?

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And question two,

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how do we make

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those changes happen.

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And the reason why

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I think it's really important to separate them

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is because these are really

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just two completely separate questions.

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This number one is a question of...

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really it's a technical question.

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It's a kind of a, it's a tax

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advisers, it's a tax planners question. It's...

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it's a technical economics question.

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And number two is a question of, of power.

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It's a question of how do we force these things.

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And the reason why

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I think it's really, really important to separate them

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is because we tend to focus very,

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very much on this - question one.

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Especially when we are talking to

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people like me who are economists.

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We want to say, okay, well,

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what are the changes in the tax system?

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What are the change in the tax system?

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And I think this is

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perhaps a little bit naive to the fact

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that basically at the moment

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we are losing this debate for question two,

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which is at the moment we're not getting any taxes.

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at all.

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We are increasingly seeing changes in the tax system

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which tax rich people less.

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Which tax working people more.

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That is true

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even in countries that have

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centre left governments

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who you might think

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would be more supportive of richer...

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of poor people.

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It's true here in the UK, we have a Labour government.

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It was true under Joe Biden.

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We are seeing even under governments

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that are supposed to be left wing,

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the inability to raise taxes at all.

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So I think

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it's really important to recognise

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that these two things are separate,

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because we can often end up in a situation where

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somebody like me is trying to make a very strong case

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for the fact

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that if we don't change the tax system,

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we will see basically a collapse of society

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and somebody who

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perhaps is rich or is funded by

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the rich will come in and say, “Aha!

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But what specific changes do you want to make?”

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And they would ask you to sort of sit down

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and carefully plan

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a brand new tax system right there in front of them,

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and then they will say, “Oh, well,

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this specific problem is wrong

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and this is not going to work.” Listen,

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I am not particularly passionate

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about the specific form of tax that we take.

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I am aware that it is really,

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really important that this is carefully designed

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to hit the richest rather than the middle class.

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I'm totally aware of this problem,

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and I'm aware that different

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forms of taxes will have different problems.

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And I'm aware that we need to be really, really careful

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about how we plan it, how we design it.

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But the truth is,

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the most important thing is that we get a change

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and there are a number of forms that change can take.

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I campaign for wealth taxes.

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Some people campaign

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for equalising capital gains with income tax.

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Some people talk about closing down the loopholes

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that very rich families use to pay zero taxes.

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These are all good plans,

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but I don't think we should let the perfect

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be the enemy of the good.

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The truth is, we are losing

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this battle for question two.

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And if we lose this battle for question two,

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then your family will be bankrupted.

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So I came into this game, you know, as an economist,

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who thought a lot about question one.

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And I kind of became a campaigner. A YouTuber.

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I literally taught myself how to write a book,

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because I could see

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we were going to lose question two.

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So I am going to focus

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for the rest of this video on question two.

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The only thing I will say about question one is

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I think we need to deal with the fact

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that some people say

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there's no point trying to tax the rich

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because reducing inequality is impossible.

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And the answer to that is 100%.

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It is possible because we did it in the 20th century.

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In the beginning of the 20th century,

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inequality in this country,

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across Europe, across

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the United States, was extreme high.

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And ordinary families like yours

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and mine lived in desperate poverty.

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And over the course of the 20th century,

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we reduced wealth inequality really significantly.

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That got wealth into the hands of ordinary families,

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and it led to really significant increases

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in living standards,

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which meant that our parents

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and grandparents lived much,

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much better lives than people

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in the early 20th century did.

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So for now,

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we need to focus on getting some form of change,

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because if we spend all of our time

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arguing about the specific form of the change,

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we wont get anything at all.

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There's no point arguing about battle tactics

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until you have an army.

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So let's talk about how can we force these politicians

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to give us the things that we need. All right, so. I,

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as most of you will know, if you've been watching

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this channel, was an economist,

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mathematician and a trader.

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I worked as a trader from 2008 to 2014.

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I made a lot of money

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by recognising,

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basically, exactly the diagram

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I showed you at the beginning of the video,

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which was that wealth

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has, was and still is being drained

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out of the middle class, out of the working class,

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accumulated by the very rich,

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that was going to suck

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spending power out of the economy,

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and that was going to impoverish

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most ordinary families.

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I bet on that.

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And I was very successful

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betting that the economy would collapse.

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And I made a lot of money on that.

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And I quit trading in 2014.

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I was living in Tokyo at the time,

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and I came back to London,

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basically with this conviction

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that I was right in this relatively

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simple economic understanding that we would see

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continued further and further

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and further worsening of living standards.

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And I didn't want that to happen.

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I don't want that to happen.

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I assume you don't want that to happen

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because it will mean poverty for you and your kids.

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And my plan was

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basically, simply to come back to London

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and show people this, this truth.

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And I've been spending basically those,

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nearly 11 years now since I came back,

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trying to figure out

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how can we actually stop this crisis from happening.

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And my plan has always been

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really relatively simply,

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this crisis will impoverish

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70%, 80%, 90% of the population here in the UK,

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in the US,

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in Australia, in Europe, wherever you're watching,

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and you're seeing that happening,

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you are seeing larger and larger

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percentages of the population being impoverished.

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And it doesn't make sense

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for the public to accept that.

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So all we need to do

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is show them what's happening,

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make it clear to them what's happening,

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and they will reject it, basically.

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But it's been 11 years now

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and we haven't achieved it yet.

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So I would like to explain basically how my thinking

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has developed and refined into trying

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to figure out a way that we can really effectively

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stop it.

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So when I first came back, the first place I went to

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was I worked for an economics

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think tank in London

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called the New Economics Foundation.

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I volunteered there for about six months.

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You know, this is a progressive economics

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think tank in London.

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I kind of figured that these would be the guys

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who would help you

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sort of introduce new economics ideas into society.

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Their name was literally the New Economics Foundation.

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And I volunteered there for six months.

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I met a lot of nice people.

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Some of them I'm still friends with now.

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But I basically became convinced that they

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didn't really have the capacity

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to really push this new idea out.

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There was very, very little appetite

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for ideas and inequality.

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They needed to get funding

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for all of their individual projects.

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And, you know,

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they could get a lot of funding

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for global warming stuff

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and kind of identity politics stuff.

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But there was basically nobody

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funding wealth inequality stuff.

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The space was quite middle class.

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So in many cases there weren’t

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people who were not themselves being directly hurt.

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I make the point a lot on this channel,

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and I think this is important

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to recognise, crises of inequality,

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they impoverish 90% of the population,

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but they make like 1% or 2% of the population

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absolutely, really bloody rich.

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And these guys, they benefit from it.

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And there's another sort of 3%,

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4% below that that are pretty well protected.

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And I sort of found in that think tank space,

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a lot of these protected people basically,

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and unfortunately whilst

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they are in many cases

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very well-meaning,

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I didn't see any chance of getting

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change essentially from that think tank space.

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So I went then to university, I did a two year

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economics master's at Oxford, and,

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you could probably imagine

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if the think tank space was quite

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rich and quite upper middle class, the

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Oxford University

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was unbelievably rich and middle class.

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And,

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you know, good luck to anyone

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who's trying to make change in academia,

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and we do need people in those spaces.

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I became pretty convinced that

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academia was almost completely

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a dead end at the moment.

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I think, you know, we've made videos on this.

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I think the situation of university,

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especially elite university academic economics, is just

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if the situation wasn't so serious,

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it would be quite funny, really.

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You've got a lot of very smart kids

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that are locked in

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tiny, windowless rooms, doing

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unbelievably complicated mathematics,

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with absolutely no idea what's happening in the world.

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So I don't think that we're going

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to make change from those spaces.

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I eventually decided

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to try and move into the media space.

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I made that space in early 2020.

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And the idea was basically, you know,

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I've spent

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5, 6 years now

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trying to convince rich people to deal with inequality.

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I don't think they're going to do it.

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The people who are affected by and

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and hurt by this economic crisis of inequality

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are ordinary families, ordinary families like you,

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ordinary families like your kids.

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And I was hoping that in the media space,

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I might be able to basically

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speak to the people who are being hurt.

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Speak to people who are being affected.

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Instead of speaking to,

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you know, the rich guys who are benefiting.

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And, that is really when I started to develop

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the plan that I've been doing the last

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four years, especially the last 2 or 3 years.

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Which is I genuinely think that the vast

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majority of people in this country,

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and I think this is true if you're here

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or in the States or in Europe or in Australia

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do not have a single person

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in the mainstream media

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who is communicating

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effectively, clearly, understandably,

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what is happening in this economic crisis

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that is increasingly devastating living conditions

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for millions of ordinary families across the world.

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And I started to feel that there was a massive gap,

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basically a huge gap,

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a huge gap to fill, basically telling people

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what is happening.

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And I started to feel that really strongly

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during Covid,

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that basically the quality of our economics media

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was extremely low.

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The quality of our politics

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from an economics perspective was extremely low.

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And we were because of those failures,

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we were going to see a continuation of fall

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in living standards.

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But we were going to see this

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enormous unmet demand

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for somebody who was simply talking about

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and explaining

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what is actually happening in the economy.

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Okay. So let's talk about

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what is happening in

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economics and politics.

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I think you basically have

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two strands of economic thought

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and two strands of political thought,

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which is you have this kind of

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old school,

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the kind of dominant economic ideology of the last

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30, 40 years,

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which is really,

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I think, personified

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by the current Labour government,

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which is if

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we just do everything a little bit more efficiently,

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things will get better.

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There's no explicit focus on inequality at all.

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They often tend to focus on trying to change the system

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in such a way that it benefits the rich,

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which means inequality

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tends to get worse over time,

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and living standards fall for the majority.

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While this kind of

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semi elite group of politicians and economists

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themselves are protected.

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And this is really clearly dying.

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You can see it in the complete collapse

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in support for

00:17:47

almost all of the traditional centre

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left and centre right parties across Europe.

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Those parties are only really hanging on in the UK

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and the US

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under systems

00:17:59

which basically make it

00:18:01

almost impossible to replace them.

00:18:02

And you're seeing them,

00:18:04

you're seeing even in those countries,

00:18:05

those parties become extremely unpopular and die.

00:18:09

That creates this massive, massive gap for new ideas.

00:18:11

So I think we are here in this space now.

00:18:15

There is a massive,

00:18:16

massive popular demand for new ideas.

00:18:19

And really,

00:18:21

the political left has almost completely failed to put

00:18:25

any new ideas on the table.

00:18:28

And that gap is

00:18:31

being filled by

00:18:33

a new political right,

00:18:34

which I think has been very effective

00:18:36

in doing things like utilising social media,

00:18:39

utilising influencers,

00:18:40

especially on the right

00:18:42

to basically sell a new political story.

00:18:45

And they are, in a sense,

00:18:48

taking advantage of the exact same thing

00:18:50

which I've just described to you,

00:18:51

which is that politics is...

00:18:53

has failed, media has failed.

00:18:56

There is massive demand for something which is new

00:19:01

because people know that the status quo is failing,

00:19:04

and these guys are filling that gap

00:19:07

with ‘The problem is foreigners.

00:19:09

The problem is immigrants’,

00:19:11

and they will be very successful.

00:19:14

You know, they clearly have taken power

00:19:16

of the US government.

00:19:17

They will increasingly take control

00:19:19

of European governments.

00:19:20

And they have taken control

00:19:21

of many European governments.

00:19:22

They are successful,

00:19:23

I think, not necessarily because they are

00:19:26

good.

00:19:27

I think simply because no one else

00:19:29

has really tried to occupy that gap.

00:19:31

I think there is

00:19:33

massive demand for a massive potential for

00:19:37

a simple message delivered to working people.

00:19:41

The reason you are getting poor

00:19:43

is because your wealth is being squeezed out

00:19:46

by the rich and the super rich.

00:19:48

They are taking their wealth from you.

00:19:49

You are unable to compete with them.

00:19:51

The working class is being bankrupted.

00:19:53

The middle class is disappearing. Tax wealth not work.

00:19:58

I honestly think we have a chance

00:20:01

of winning power on that.

00:20:03

And I think in this country in the short term, our...

00:20:07

because we have this centrist party in power,

00:20:10

our problem is how do we squeeze the centre on that?

00:20:15

And I think the power we have

00:20:17

is that the centre is number one,

00:20:18

phenomenally unpopular, and number two

00:20:21

will fail on the economy.

00:20:22

So I think we really have power there.

00:20:25

The longer term risk is not the centre

00:20:26

because I think the centre

00:20:27

will progressively lose popularity,

00:20:29

but these new right ideas.

00:20:32

The problem we have is that they will always be

00:20:35

much, much, much better funded than us.

00:20:38

Quite simply because

00:20:40

once billionaires realise

00:20:42

that the long term battle is a battle between tax

00:20:44

the rich and blame the foreigners,

00:20:47

the billionaires will increasingly aggressively fund

00:20:51

blame the foreigners as an idea.

00:20:54

But we do also have a kind of trump card against this

00:21:00

new right,

00:21:01

which is

00:21:02

when it comes to economic policy,

00:21:04

almost all of these new right parties

00:21:07

want to slash taxes on rich people.

00:21:10

And I think that's partly ideological.

00:21:13

And I think it's partly

00:21:13

because they're funded by billionaires.

00:21:16

And, you know, that's what the billionaires want,

00:21:18

which means that even in the cases where these guys

00:21:21

do take power, and we've seen it

00:21:22

in some European countries, but,

00:21:24

you know, most obviously

00:21:25

we've seen it recently in the US.

00:21:27

These guys will also preside over

00:21:31

an increase

00:21:32

in wealth inequality,

00:21:33

which will mean, again,

00:21:35

a squeeze of assets away from the middle class,

00:21:38

away from the working class,

00:21:39

and further falls in ordinary families

00:21:43

living conditions.

00:21:44

So these guys, whilst they will be very well-funded

00:21:47

and they are very clearly in the ascendancy,

00:21:50

they have a really, really serious weakness,

00:21:52

which is they are literally

00:21:54

impoverishing their own supporters.

00:21:57

But this is not just the weakness

00:21:58

of the political right.

00:21:59

This is also the weakness of the political centre.

00:22:01

You know, I put a video out

00:22:03

a few weeks ago saying,

00:22:05

Trump and Labour will both fail

00:22:07

because they will both allow wealth

00:22:09

inequality to increase,

00:22:10

which means the squeezing out of wealth

00:22:13

from ordinary families to the rich.

00:22:16

And as much as,

00:22:19

you know, this movement is small

00:22:20

and it's it's almost completely unfunded,

00:22:23

the power that we have is

00:22:26

both of our competitors are actively impoverishing

00:22:29

their voter base,

00:22:30

aggressively impoverishing their voter base.

00:22:33

So I think we really, really

00:22:36

have a chance

00:22:38

by pushing

00:22:40

a single message

00:22:41

again and again and again,

00:22:43

wealth inequality is what is making you poor.

00:22:46

The only way to protect your families from poverty

00:22:48

is to get the wealth back from the very rich.

00:22:51

That means fixing a broken tax system

00:22:53

which taxes you at higher rates than them.

00:22:56

It means changing the tax system

00:22:57

to tax them more, to tax you less.

00:23:00

Tax wealth, not work.

00:23:02

Now, I want to make it clear,

00:23:05

because I'm in the business of predictions,

00:23:07

what will happen if we don't get this onto the table.

00:23:12

If we don't get this idea onto the table,

00:23:14

then we will be left with, essentially

00:23:16

the two voices on the table that are already there,

00:23:18

which is one

00:23:20

this kind of tired old centrism where we just say

00:23:22

business, business, business,

00:23:24

growth, growth, growth,

00:23:25

entrepreneurship, entrepreneurship,

00:23:26

entrepreneurship to ourselves again and again

00:23:28

a million times, whilst

00:23:29

we impoverish the working class.

00:23:31

And this new right idea of the problem is immigrants,

00:23:35

the problem is foreigners.

00:23:36

And because you have only two basic ideas on the table,

00:23:40

what you will have is you will get one party in power.

00:23:43

So for example, in this country

00:23:45

we currently have the boring centrists in power.

00:23:48

They will oversee a growth in inequality

00:23:50

and they will become very unpopular

00:23:52

and they will be replaced

00:23:52

by a ‘The problem is foreigners’ party and ‘the problem

00:23:57

is foreigners’ party will also

00:24:00

watch inequality

00:24:01

grow and they will eventually become unpopular

00:24:04

and people will vote the boring centrists in again.

00:24:07

And what you will see

00:24:08

here is

00:24:09

the right wing party ‘the problem is foreigners’

00:24:11

party has space to move into,

00:24:14

which is they can say, okay,

00:24:16

the reason we failed was because we weren't

00:24:17

hard enough on foreigners.

00:24:19

They can rebrand

00:24:20

and they can come in further to the right.

00:24:22

And this is basically exactly what we saw

00:24:24

in this country.

00:24:25

You know,

00:24:26

we had

00:24:27

David Cameron, who was this kind of essentially

00:24:30

a boring centrist,

00:24:32

and he was replaced

00:24:35

briefly by Theresa May,

00:24:36

but eventually by Boris Johnson,

00:24:38

who was essentially,

00:24:39

a re flanking to the right of the political right,

00:24:44

which is, you know, we don't want to...

00:24:45

he really was replacing of a boring

00:24:46

centrist with ‘the problem is foreigners.’

00:24:49

And when he lost he was replaced by,

00:24:52

very briefly

00:24:53

Liz Truss, who again was flanked further to the right.

00:24:56

And when she immediately crashed the economy,

00:24:58

we again got boring centrist Rishi Sunak.

00:25:01

And he was replaced by boring centrist Keir Starmer.

00:25:05

And what you are seeing now in

00:25:06

this country is the growth of Nigel Farage,

00:25:09

who is again the political right

00:25:12

moving to the right.

00:25:12

And you see the same thing in the US.

00:25:14

So in the US you have Donald Trump.

00:25:17

He is a ‘the problem is foreigners’ politician.

00:25:20

He will fail.

00:25:22

He could be followed by another boring centrist,

00:25:25

or he could be followed

00:25:25

by another new sort

00:25:28

of rebranding of the political right,

00:25:29

which is what we need to do is, is be more extreme

00:25:32

on the right.

00:25:33

And,

00:25:34

billionaires will probably be funding these,

00:25:36

these new right wing parties

00:25:37

because they see them

00:25:38

as protecting them from taxing the rich.

00:25:40

And what you’ll see is eventually

00:25:44

these right wing parties

00:25:45

will become more and more extreme,

00:25:48

because it's the only way

00:25:49

you can keep winning elections,

00:25:50

when you keep failing on the economy.

00:25:54

What you are being

00:25:55

popular for is blaming foreigners and immigrants,

00:25:57

and if you're not succeeding on the economy,

00:25:59

you can just, you can keep doubling down on that.

00:26:01

You have space to the right to go into,

00:26:03

whereas the centre kind of have nowhere to go.

00:26:04

They'll become increasingly unpopular.

00:26:06

So, I think we have to be realistic about this.

00:26:08

That leads you over a period of time

00:26:12

from what might may initially have been sensible

00:26:15

seeming, ‘the problem is foreigners’ politics

00:26:17

closer and closer and closer to real fascism.

00:26:21

I mean, that is...

00:26:23

that is where it goes.

00:26:24

And I'm not saying Farage is a fascist,

00:26:26

I'm not saying Trump is a fascist.

00:26:28

That is where it will go over time.

00:26:29

This is exactly what happened

00:26:31

in the early 20th century.

00:26:32

That is what will happen

00:26:34

if we do not get a new voice on the table.

00:26:37

And I think it's worth

00:26:39

seeing and thinking about that for a minute,

00:26:41

because I know we,

00:26:43

we live in countries, you know, here in the UK,

00:26:45

but I know we've got a growing US viewership,

00:26:48

we live in countries

00:26:49

where politics is increasingly factional

00:26:51

and people who view themselves as on the left

00:26:53

hate people who view themselves as on the right.

00:26:55

People who view themselves as on the right,

00:26:57

hate people who view themselves as on the left.

00:27:00

The way this will go will be a...

00:27:03

I was going to say slow,

00:27:03

but it could become increasingly quick,

00:27:05

slide into fascism

00:27:06

whilst both of you,

00:27:08

those of you who view yourselves

00:27:09

as on the left

00:27:10

and those of you who view yourselves as on the right,

00:27:12

will slide further

00:27:14

and further and further into poverty.

00:27:15

So I think it's really,

00:27:16

really important

00:27:17

that you recognise neither of these groups

00:27:20

are going to give you what you need,

00:27:23

which is your houses back

00:27:25

and your ability to be able to have a family. Okay. So

00:27:29

this is a

00:27:30

fight which I genuinely believe we can win.

00:27:37

Not because we are strong

00:27:39

and not because we are well-funded,

00:27:41

but quite simply

00:27:42

because we are competing with two political ideologies

00:27:48

which are both bankrupting the public,

00:27:53

bankrupting 80%, 90% of the public.

00:27:57

And that makes them

00:28:00

very weak to a campaign

00:28:02

which basically simply reveals

00:28:04

the truth of what is happening,

00:28:05

which is the reason you are getting poor,

00:28:09

is because the rich are eating your cake.

00:28:12

They are squeezing you out.

00:28:13

They are taking your assets.

00:28:15

They're driving a family into poverty.

00:28:16

The power that we have is...

00:28:21

really we've got two powers.

00:28:22

One, we are the only voice

00:28:25

which will protect ordinary people from poverty.

00:28:28

And two, we have strength in numbers.

00:28:32

This is genuinely in the financial interests

00:28:34

of the vast majority of people,

00:28:36

both on the political left and on the political right.

00:28:39

This works for them financially.

00:28:42

So I genuinely believe this is a fight we can win.

00:28:46

The problem is, we're not fighting it.

00:28:50

There's just not enough people

00:28:52

getting this idea into the public domain.

00:28:54

And I want to talk a little bit about two ideas.

00:29:00

One is the Overton window

00:29:02

and the other is message discipline.

00:29:05

So the Overton window is an idea in,

00:29:08

I guess, in politics

00:29:09

that there's a kind of window of ideas

00:29:12

which are considered

00:29:13

acceptable, sensible, normal,

00:29:16

non extreme at a given point in time.

00:29:19

We've got some videos on this channel.

00:29:21

Maybe I'll link one in the description

00:29:23

talking about why economists

00:29:25

don't talk about wealth inequality.

00:29:26

The vast majority of economists are rich people

00:29:30

who are not being hurt by this.

00:29:32

They are benefiting from it,

00:29:34

and they do not think inequality is the problem.

00:29:36

That means that at the moment,

00:29:38

focusing on and centralising inequality,

00:29:40

wealth inequality as the core problem,

00:29:42

is not popular with economists,

00:29:44

and it's outside the Overton window.

00:29:46

This really is the key challenge that we have.

00:29:49

And people sometimes ask me, you know,

00:29:50

why don't Labour talk to you?

00:29:52

Why don't Labour get this idea in their manifesto?

00:29:55

Really, it comes down to very simply that answer.

00:30:01

This is outside the Overton window.

00:30:02

The group of people in this country

00:30:05

and in most countries across the world who decide

00:30:07

what is acceptable, what is sensible, what is wise,

00:30:10

is a very small group of rich and posh people.

00:30:13

And they've decided that this

00:30:15

idea is simply unacceptable.

00:30:18

We need to push back on that.

00:30:20

But in order to do that, we need message discipline.

00:30:25

So this is the second concept I want to introduce.

00:30:27

Message discipline is again another political idea.

00:30:31

This is the reason why when when politicians go on TV,

00:30:34

they're always unbelievably, painfully boring,

00:30:37

which is that they get told by their political party

00:30:40

if this subject comes up, you have to say this.

00:30:43

And when they go on the TV,

00:30:44

they're not really thinking, what's my opinion on that?

00:30:47

What do I think about that?

00:30:48

They're thinking,

00:30:49

what has my political

00:30:50

party told me to say about this issue?

00:30:52

And for that reason, when politicians go on TV,

00:30:55

they all say the exact same thing

00:30:56

again and again and again and again and again

00:30:59

and the reason they do

00:31:00

this is this is how you get an idea

00:31:03

into the Overton window.

00:31:06

If you say an idea again and again and again

00:31:09

and again, and it's important

00:31:10

that a variety of people say it.

00:31:11

And then you guys out there

00:31:13

hear 25 different

00:31:14

posh looking, smart sounding people

00:31:16

saying the same idea ‘the problem is immigrants,

00:31:19

the problem is immigrants,

00:31:19

the problem is immigrants’ on the TV,

00:31:21

then you start to believe that idea.

00:31:23

This is how

00:31:24

an idea goes from being crazy, wacky,

00:31:27

unbelievable, no, no way true, to being common sense.

00:31:30

An idea travels from being absolutely outrageous

00:31:33

to being commonly accepted as common sense

00:31:36

simply by lots of people

00:31:38

saying it again and again

00:31:39

and again and again and again.

00:31:41

Now, I'm not a political party.

00:31:43

We don't have a political party.

00:31:44

We will and are trying to influence

00:31:45

the political parties.

00:31:47

What I have is this YouTube channel, and you.

00:31:50

And we need to start using this message discipline now.

00:31:56

I need to keep saying, and you need to keep saying,

00:31:58

and you need to get your friends

00:32:00

and your family to keep saying,

00:32:01

obviously, the reason why you guys are getting poor

00:32:05

is because of growing wealth inequality.

00:32:07

And you can choose when you push that message,

00:32:11

either to use my name and my videos or not.

00:32:14

So you can go to your friends and family and say,

00:32:16

hey, look, there's this guy, Garys Economics,

00:32:18

I think he's explained it really, really well.

00:32:19

I think if you watch his videos, it's really compelling

00:32:21

that actually the reason for growing poverty

00:32:23

is inequality.

00:32:24

I think it's important that you, to stress this,

00:32:26

you increasingly say it's obviously true

00:32:28

because it is obviously true.

00:32:30

Obviously, you cannot squeeze

00:32:32

all of the wealth out of the middle class

00:32:33

and not expect poverty.

00:32:34

You cannot concentrate the wealth

00:32:36

into an unbelievably small group of people

00:32:37

and not expect poverty.

00:32:39

These things are obviously true,

00:32:40

and we need to make it understood

00:32:42

that they're obviously true by saying them again

00:32:44

and again and again and again.

00:32:45

And when I say you can use this channel or not

00:32:47

use this channel,

00:32:48

what I mean is,

00:32:49

if you think it's the best way to convince someone

00:32:52

to send that podcast

00:32:53

or to send them to our Understanding

00:32:55

the Economy series, do that.

00:32:57

But I think one weakness that we have,

00:33:00

one weakness that I have

00:33:01

is that this channel is called Garys Economics.

00:33:04

The logo is like my face

00:33:05

and it's become very attached to my personal brand.

00:33:08

It's very, very important

00:33:10

that these ideas are not 100% attached to

00:33:14

‘these are Gary Stephenson's ideas’,

00:33:17

because it's easy to take out one guy, basically,

00:33:23

I know how this is going to work.

00:33:24

If this keeps growing at the way...

00:33:26

at the rate that it’s growing,

00:33:28

I will get attacked more and more

00:33:29

and more and more and more by the press, by the media.

00:33:32

And eventually these guys will land the punch

00:33:35

that's going to land, and I will probably be gone,

00:33:37

and I understand that's how it works.

00:33:39

It's important

00:33:40

that rather than just saying

00:33:41

“Go watch Garys Economics”,

00:33:43

that you start understanding these ideas yourself

00:33:46

and talking about them

00:33:48

as your ideas, as ideas that are obviously true,

00:33:51

that you understand

00:33:52

it's really, really important

00:33:54

that we have a diversity of voices saying this

00:33:56

and that it's not just me, it's not just me.

00:34:00

And that brings me to another weakness that we have,

00:34:02

which is,

00:34:04

we need broader buy in from powerful spaces.

00:34:10

So what I mean when I say that is, I decided

00:34:14

very consciously to move to a YouTube channel

00:34:18

as opposed to writing for The Guardian, for example,

00:34:21

because I felt that

00:34:24

it would be meaningful to working class people

00:34:27

to see and hear somebody

00:34:29

from a working class background

00:34:30

speaking about the economy.

00:34:32

And I think that is one of the reasons

00:34:34

why this channel has been popular.

00:34:35

I think that's one of the reasons

00:34:36

why the book is popular,

00:34:37

because working class people

00:34:38

really want to see somebody from the same place

00:34:41

as them, speaking about the economy.

00:34:43

That makes me a powerful communicator

00:34:48

to ordinary people, to the working class.

00:34:50

But it really, really

00:34:51

hurts me

00:34:52

when I'm trying to communicate

00:34:54

to people in positions of power.

00:34:58

So when I say that,

00:34:59

I mean high level politicians

00:35:01

or really any politicians, people

00:35:03

in the media, high level economists,

00:35:05

central bankers, people in think tanks,

00:35:07

people in the civil service,

00:35:09

you know, there's this,

00:35:11

it’s a relatively small group of people

00:35:12

who control the levers of power.

00:35:15

And almost all of them

00:35:17

are rich, posh people

00:35:18

that come from rich, posh schools.

00:35:21

And they don't like me.

00:35:23

They don't like the way that I look.

00:35:24

They don't like the way that I sound.

00:35:26

They don't like the way that I come out of nowhere

00:35:28

having made a ton of money and say,

00:35:30

you guys are all idiots, you guys are all wrong.

00:35:31

And that's very understandable.

00:35:33

That's very, very understandable.

00:35:34

So we need and what I need you to do if you can,

00:35:40

is to act as a go between.

00:35:42

Basically, you act on two levels.

00:35:44

Which is number one,

00:35:46

you really make this common sense wisdom

00:35:49

on the streets amongst ordinary

00:35:52

British men and women or American men and women,

00:35:54

if that's where you are.

00:35:55

Get everybody to understand it.

00:35:57

But if you are able to get into positions of power

00:36:00

or influence people in positions of power,

00:36:03

politicians, media, influencers,

00:36:06

celebrities, you know, love to get Carol Vorderman

00:36:09

on the channel if you're interested.

00:36:12

Civil service, academics,

00:36:14

if you can get into these spaces

00:36:15

or influence these spaces,

00:36:17

especially if you sound less working class than me,

00:36:20

I need people like you to act as go betweens

00:36:22

and don't go in there and say, “Oh, Garys

00:36:24

Economics is really smart and you guys are idiots.”

00:36:26

Go in there and speak in your posh voice and say,

00:36:29

hey, I think this idea is,

00:36:31

I think this idea,

00:36:33

this poverty could be caused by inequality.

00:36:35

We need academics saying it.

00:36:37

We need people on the political left saying it.

00:36:38

We need people like these think tanks saying it.

00:36:40

We really, really, really need more diversity of voice.

00:36:45

We are all part of this conversation.

00:36:47

So I need you to boost the ideas, boost

00:36:49

the videos, boost the channels,

00:36:51

but also start trying

00:36:53

to spread them, trying to understand myself.

00:36:55

I want to see

00:36:56

academics at Oxford or at Harvard

00:36:59

or at Cambridge or LSE writing papers saying

00:37:03

we think the reason for growing inequality,

00:37:06

before growing poverty is growing inequality.

00:37:07

I need other people saying it, other people

00:37:09

saying it, with voices like that, it can't just be me.

00:37:12

And if we do that,

00:37:16

I think we can win.

00:37:17

I think we can win.

00:37:19

You know,

00:37:19

I've been doing this for a long time,

00:37:21

and I never expected it to kind of grow

00:37:23

at this unbelievable pace that it is growing.

00:37:26

And it's

00:37:29

quite scary for me, to be honest,

00:37:30

to see the, like, the growth on the channel and

00:37:35

the book's been number one

00:37:36

for six weeks now and I just...

00:37:39

yeah, I get recognised all the time.

00:37:40

It's scary and it's weird.

00:37:42

But basically I was always convinced that

00:37:48

a simple true message,

00:37:51

which could continually be reproving

00:37:54

by predicting better than the mainstream media,

00:37:56

predicting better than the mainstream politicians

00:37:59

would be believed by the public, and

00:38:03

I think it's starting to be proven to be true.

00:38:08

So my message to you guys is

00:38:11

get on board, start singing from the same hymn sheet.

00:38:14

Get some message discipline.

00:38:16

If you're out there in the political left,

00:38:18

ask your political party you’re

00:38:21

associated with or your think tank you're in,

00:38:23

or the groups you're associated in,

00:38:25

why are we not talking about inequality

00:38:26

as the cause for poverty?

00:38:29

Why are we not saying that?

00:38:30

If you're on the political right,

00:38:31

if you’re a member of the Conservative Party,

00:38:32

if you're a Reform voter,

00:38:34

ask them, why are they not saying that?

00:38:36

You know, this is not a left or right issue.

00:38:37

This is a poverty issue.

00:38:38

This is going to happen in every country.

00:38:40

And it doesn't matter who's in charge.

00:38:41

Both Donald Trump and Labour

00:38:43

are presiding over increasing inequality.

00:38:45

You know, call in to LBC, ask them,

00:38:47

you know why you're not talking about inequality.

00:38:49

Inequality is blowing up.

00:38:51

Stock markets are all time highs.

00:38:52

The rich are richer than they've ever been.

00:38:54

And yet ordinary families can't turn the heating on.

00:38:56

You know, make it common sense.

00:38:58

Of course it's inequality. Of course it's inequality.

00:39:00

Say it again and again.

00:39:02

Share it.

00:39:03

Share it with your friends. Share it with your family.

00:39:05

Share it with anyone who has any position of power.

00:39:07

You know, call into the call in shows.

00:39:09

Make this the new common sense.

00:39:13

And I guess this brings me to the final point,

00:39:16

which is a lot of people

00:39:18

want concrete actions.

00:39:21

They say to me, “What can I do, Gary? What can I do?

00:39:23

You freaked me out. You scared me.

00:39:25

What can I do?”

00:39:26

And I want to finish this video by trying my best

00:39:29

to give, like a really clear

00:39:33

answer to that question of what can you do?

00:39:36

The first thing I want you to do,

00:39:40

is take a big breath in, and a big breath out

00:39:46

and recognise

00:39:47

this economic situation, is an economic situation

00:39:52

that is going to get worse.

00:39:54

It is an economic situation that is going to get worse.

00:39:58

This situation of

00:40:01

dislike of immigrants,

00:40:02

dislike of foreigners is also a situation

00:40:05

that is going to get worse.

00:40:07

Both of those things

00:40:08

are going to affect different people differently.

00:40:10

You know, if you are not the poorest, think about

00:40:15

how that's going to affect people poorer than you.

00:40:18

If you are not on the sharp

00:40:19

end of the anti-immigrant, anti-foreigner hatred,

00:40:22

think about how it's going to affect people who are.

00:40:26

The reason I say those things is twofold.

00:40:29

The first one is,

00:40:31

I need you to be ready emotionally for the difficult

00:40:37

and divisive times that are coming,

00:40:42

because if you are angry,

00:40:45

if you are frightened, if you are scared,

00:40:49

I can't do nothing with you.

00:40:52

I can't do nothing with you.

00:40:56

I want to tell another quick story

00:40:58

from when I went on Piers Morgan a few weeks ago.

00:41:00

So when I went on, piers was running like quite late.

00:41:03

Like an hour, maybe like an hour, 20 minutes late,

00:41:05

which meant I had to sit in the green room

00:41:07

with Dave Rubin and his entourage for

00:41:10

an hour and 20 minutes.

00:41:11

They're very nice.

00:41:13

And while we were in the green room, we could,

00:41:16

we could see on a big TV the interviews

00:41:19

that Piers Morgan was doing.

00:41:21

And,

00:41:22

I don't watch Piers Morgan's channel normally,

00:41:24

but I watched these

00:41:25

about an hour of interviews,

00:41:26

I think it was two interviews before I went on, and

00:41:31

I could see what they were doing, right.

00:41:33

They have their left wing head

00:41:36

and they have their right wing head.

00:41:38

And both the interviews before mine,

00:41:40

they had

00:41:41

the left wing heads were all black

00:41:42

and the right wing heads were all white.

00:41:44

And they tried to say things to make that left

00:41:46

wing head angry,

00:41:48

to make them, to make them lose their temper.

00:41:49

When I was on, they wanted to get...

00:41:52

I think there was a, there was a transsexual who,

00:41:54

they were trying to get her angry about

00:41:57

the Olympics or something.

00:41:58

Just trying to get her to say something outrageous.

00:42:00

Tried to get her to lose her temper.

00:42:01

Then they looked at the audience...

00:42:02

They looked at the audience and say, look,

00:42:03

this is what those people are like.

00:42:05

And what they're trying to do is, is cause division.

00:42:09

They're trying to cause division.

00:42:11

They're trying to make you hate each other.

00:42:13

They're trying to make you angry.

00:42:15

They're trying to make you think those guys out

00:42:16

there are your enemy.

00:42:17

And when I say that,

00:42:19

I'm not just talking to the political right,

00:42:20

I'm talking to the political left as well.

00:42:22

They want you to hate each other.

00:42:25

They want you to be angry.

00:42:26

Listen, here in the UK, in the US, all over the world,

00:42:30

the working class is multiracial,

00:42:32

it's multi-ethnic, it includes

00:42:34

men and women

00:42:35

includes people who own house,

00:42:36

people who don't own houses.

00:42:38

If you hate each other,

00:42:39

if the men hate the women and the women hate the men,

00:42:41

and the white people hate the nonwhite people in the

00:42:43

not white people hate the white people,

00:42:45

I can't do nothing with you.

00:42:46

We will never be able to stand together.

00:42:48

We will never be able to fight.

00:42:49

We'll never be able to win.

00:42:50

The power that we have is that there's more of us.

00:42:54

That is a power we only use if we fight together.

00:42:57

We cannot afford to allow ourselves to be frightened,

00:43:01

to be scared, or to hate each other.

00:43:03

The second thing is, I need you guys

00:43:05

to be prepared for a long fight.

00:43:08

We don't win this tomorrow,

00:43:09

we don't win it the next day,

00:43:11

we don't win this next week,

00:43:12

we don't win this next year. Okay?

00:43:14

Your grandparents, your great-grandparents,

00:43:16

your great-great-grandparents

00:43:17

fought for generations

00:43:19

for the kind of ability

00:43:20

you have to own assets

00:43:22

and that your parents had to own assets.

00:43:23

This is not a fight we win quickly.

00:43:25

The reason that I say that is that I know

00:43:27

people want me to arrange

00:43:29

some kind of march on Parliament.

00:43:31

We talk about this a lot.

00:43:32

I don't want to get you guys to go

00:43:35

crazy, email

00:43:36

your MP every day, march on Parliament,

00:43:38

use all your energy,

00:43:39

and then be a situation

00:43:40

where we're not in a position to get anything.

00:43:43

I don't want you guys to be disappointed.

00:43:45

This is a long fight.

00:43:47

You need to conserve your energy for a marathon,

00:43:49

not a sprint. Okay?

00:43:51

We build,

00:43:52

we build, we build, we build, we build, we build,

00:43:56

and then we go together and we win.

00:43:59

When we have enough power, we can win the argument.

00:44:02

We are fighting against two political ideologies,

00:44:05

which will definitely drive your family

00:44:07

and your kids families into poverty.

00:44:10

They've got nothing to offer you.

00:44:12

The argument is there, the argument is simple.

00:44:14

We need to get wealth back

00:44:15

into the hands of ordinary families.

00:44:17

That means taxing working people

00:44:19

less and rich people more.

00:44:20

Tax wealth, not work, protect ordinary families,

00:44:24

make it common sense.

00:44:26

Tell your friends.

00:44:27

Tell your families. Build the movement.

00:44:29

Support other people who are saying the same things.

00:44:32

Be that person yourself.

00:44:33

We need more voices singing off the same hymn sheet.

00:44:36

We can win this argument.

00:44:38

Win the argument, you get the power,

00:44:40

you change the tax system

00:44:41

and then you get your assets back. And that

00:44:45

is how we stop the economy from collapsing.

00:44:47

Good luck. Thank you.

00:44:49

Send it to your mum. Send your friends, to your family.

00:44:51

Good luck.