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£700bn Covid Money - What is it & Where did it come from?

February 12, 2023
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okay so what we're going to do today is we're  going to explain very precisely what is meant  

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by the 700 billion pounds that has been given out  by the government since the beginning of Covid

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so people who've been watching this channel  from the start or even in the last few months  

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will be aware that I keep going on and  on about this number 700 billion pounds  

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that's been given out by the government  it's an enormous amount of money  

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It's £14,000 for every single man or woman  in the country so if you don't have your  

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£14,000 someone else has got it, in my opinion  it's at the heart of this financial crisis  

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um I predicted that because of it at the very  beginning of Covid I said we would get a

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cost of living crisis; of inflation, of increasing  asset prices, increasing inequality... 

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so if you understand this £700 billion then you  can understand a lot of what's happening...  

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it's also an opportunity to attack the government, ask them where it is, ask them who has it  

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because it is now held by the richest people in society but if you're going to do that you need  

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to understand precisely what it's meant, we've had  a few questions about people saying you know what  

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exactly is that number, where do you get it from?  & we're going to explain that all very clearly today  

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so first of all what is the 700 billion pounds? the  700 billion pounds is the total government deficit  

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since the beginning of Covid if anyone doesn't  understand these terms don't worry because it's  

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going to be explained very clearly it's the total  government deficit since the beginning of covid  

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which is also the same as the total increase  in government debt since the beginning of covid  

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which you can understand that's the total amount  of money given out since the beginning of covid 

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um it's it's a public record number we'll put a  little link to just a public website that shows  

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exactly the government debt so you can see exactly  how much has increased um and what it is is the  

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total amount of government spending over and  above government taxation so when the government  

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spends money but funds it through taxation that  doesn't increase the amount of money in society  

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it just moves it around so if I come to you and  I tax you 100 pounds and I use that money to  

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pay school teachers to pay doctors to pay nurses  it doesn't increase or decrease money in society  

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it simply moves it from one person to another   no increase in total amount of money in society  

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but when the government spends money without  taxing that does increase money in society  

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um and I think it's important  to understand how that works so  

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the first thing to understand is okay if  if they're spending money and they're not  

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getting it from taxation, where are they getting it  from? now that 700 billion pounds has been funded  

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in in basically two ways so 450 billion of the 700  billion has been funded by QE quantitative easing  

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um that is a term that confuses a lot of people  and we will explain it and the other 250 billion  

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pounds has been borrowed essentially from the  private sector from individuals and we will  

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get into that as well this is more 450 from QE (quantitative easing) and 250 from traditional  

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borrowing now let's start with the £450bn Q.E. because that confuses a lot of people and it also  

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shows you really neatly how this leads to  cash accumulation by individuals in society  

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so QE which stands for Quantitative Easing is a  concept which has confused a lot of people and  

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I'm going to provide a slightly simplified way of  understanding it which I think helps understand  

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crucially how it affects the economy in society  so I'm gonna step forward that when you hear QE  

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what you should understand is that that is the  Central Bank in this case the Bank of England  

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printing money and lending it to the government  

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so you should understand that the central bank Bank of England here or Federal Reserve in the US  

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European Central Bank (ECB) in Europe  prints money and lends it to the government  

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and this is one way that the government can  finance its spending, now I'm going to briefly  

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elaborate a little bit on this simplification  because I know there'll be people who will be  

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watching will say that's not what QE is, that's  not how QE works but if you don't understand  

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this slightly more detailed explanation of QE  what you should keep in your head is that QE is  

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when the Central Bank prints money and lends it to  the government okay in actuality what happens is  

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the government borrows money from the  private sector from individuals from banks  

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and at the same time the Central Bank buys  those loans from the banks now imagine  

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you are the private sector you are the banks  and the government borrows money from you the  

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government borrows £100 it gives you an IOU  for £100... IOU £100... £110 plus interest 

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in a year's time then the Bank of England comes in and buys the IOU from you  

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for £100 or maybe for £101 so you lent money to the government  

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and then you immediately sold that debt  for the same price at the central bank  

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effectively it's as if you weren't there right  you made the loan to the government then you got  

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rid of the loan you're a middleman and the  end result is that the government owes money  

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to the central bank and the central bank has given  money to the government you see what I'm saying?  

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technically the central bank doesn't lend the  money directly to the government there's a middle  

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man between who basically stands in the middle  and takes the money from Central Bank and gives  

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it to the government but that is not particularly  relevant for the end result, the end result is the  

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Central Bank prints money, that money gets sent  to the government, the government has the money  

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so the way you should understand QE is  that it is Central Bank prints money and  

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lends into the government does that make sense?  what is useful about this from the perspective  

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of our understanding is because that money  has basically been magic'ed up out of nowhere  

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it makes it really clear how when  the government spends this money  

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which is run runs a deficit, how that increases  the amount of money in society right so sound  

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the government I borrow money from the Central  Bank 700 billion pounds what 450 billion pounds  

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at this point you're not affected right it's just  the transaction between the government and the  

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central bank but when the government then gives  that money out it's it's brand new fresh money in  

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society and that 450 billion is created so it's  it's in the case of the QE quantitative easing  

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funded deficit it's really clear how this just  leads to increased cash holding in society right  

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it's couldn't be clearer really the government  prints it it goes through the private sector but  

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it ends up being led to the government and then  the government just gives it out and I think this  

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captures something which we spoke about in last  week's video the "What is Money?" video which is that  

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the Central Bank cannot give money out they can  only lend money but government can give money out  

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so the Central Bank lent £450 billion to  government 450 of the 700 and the government  

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gave that out and this at the beginning of Covid  that number was 250. we could see then that it  

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was going to be increased but it was basically  that simple understanding which enabled me to  

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make a lot of money trading at the beginning  of Covid because you could see okay  

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the government... the central bank has only lend  250 billion to the government the government's  

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going to give 250 billion out we know someone  is going to end up with a ton of cash even

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250 billion is still £5000 for every adult in the country right so we knew there's going to be  

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a ton of money given out right someone has to have  the money, people have more money, it's going to  

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push up prices, asset prices will go up and this  is how it was very predictable from the beginning  

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of covid that for example house prices would  increase now most mainstream economic pundits  

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were predicting a collapse in house prices but if you  understood well you know the government and the  

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Central Bank together are giving a ton of money  out we know that actually it's much more likely  

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asset prices will increase so what is nice about  this QE funded money even though QE itself can  

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be a bit confusing and I think you understand now  what it's meant by QE yeah? the Central Bank prints  

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money and lends it to the government what is nice  about it is it creates a very clean increasing  

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cash holding in society it's very clean it's very  clear because that money hasn't come from anywhere  

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it was printed by the Central Bank given to the  government and put out into society um so that's  

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450 billion of it and we know we know now it has  to be held by somewhere it's like if you pour 450  

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liters of water into a swimming pool you know  that that water has to be in there that money  

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has been poured into society and somebody has  to have it somebody has to have it nice and easy  

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um one little thing I will add on this is that the  Central Bank pays interest on that money so even  

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though the Government and the Central Bank between  them have created this money, it is still basically  

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interest bearing debt because the central bank  pays the base rate on that money and the base  

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rate has gone up and up so now the Central  Bank actually has the pages open that money  

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another thing is this creates an interesting  situation where the government owes a lot of  

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money to the central bank and the central  bank is is essentially a part of government  

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so it raises the question of is this really  government debt and I would say yes it should  

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be counted as Government debt because the Central  Bank pays interest on it so you're paying interest  

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on it like any other debt and technically it is  included as part of the government debt okay so  

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700 billion is the total deficit 450 billion of  that funded by QE we know that because that's  

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brand new fresh money that exists in society  somebody has to have it it's not complicated  

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you follow that? the other 250 billion is funded in  the more traditional sense of government borrowing  

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and what that means is it borrows money from  pension funds from wealthy individuals  

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a lot of the time you think you have money  in the bank your bank would actually use  

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that money to buy a government bond  and will be holding government bonds 

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so essentially the money in your bank  account is used to buy government bonds  

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and it's a little bit more complicated to understand now... okay is society richer now because  

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in the case of the QE it was absolutely brand  new money poured into society okay now let's  

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consider what happens if the government borrows  250 billion and then spends it into society  

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okay so imagine your your Society okay and  you've got you've got 100 pounds I walk into  

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the room and I borrow that 100 pounds off you and I give you an IOU, are you richer? 

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not really you used to have 100 pounds now you've  got an IOU for 101 pounds so if you include interest  

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but then I give the 100 pounds back to you

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are you rich now? see what what makes  society richer is not the government  

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borrowing it's the fact that the government  borrowed the money and then gave it back  

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so if I borrow money from you and then give you  the money then you have the credit and the money  

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and I think what makes it even neater is often the  bank does that basically without you knowing so  

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you have 100 pounds in the bank the government  comes and borrows 100 pounds from the bank and  

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then gives you the hundred pounds which you  put in the bank so now you have 200 pounds in  

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the bank so the answer is yes you're richer if  somebody borrows money from you and then gives  

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that money to you, you are richer because you have  the money and the credit and often all you see is  

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an increase in your bank account because the  borrowing goes on by your bank your bank lends  

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the money to government, the government gives the money to you and you are richer so it's um  

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it's not that complicated really if somebody borrows  money from you i.e the government and then gives  

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you the money, you double your money, does that make  sense to you? it's you know.. and I could do it again  

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right you know; you've got £100 I borrow it  from you & then i give it to you now you've  

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got £100 and £100 borrowed.. like now.. £100  also owed to you okay you lend me another  

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£100 pounds & I give it to you again you know so  of course of course that makes society richer so

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basically the end point here is no matter  how the government funds it's borrowing  

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be it by printing money or by borrowing money  from individuals if the government then gives  

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that money out society has more money it's as  simple as that you know if I if I borrow money  

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from you or if I print money and give money to you in both cases you end up with more money and  

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it's important to understand that this is not  this is not about lending money into the system  

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and most traditional economists when you talk  about people having more money they will think  

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about increased lending this is about giving  this is about the government going into debt  

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and giving money into the system which means  that the rest of society must go into credit  

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and must accumulate money and if anyone  doesn't understand that I would encourage  

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them to go watch last week's video what  is money that explains very very clearly  

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the monetary system is always in balance in  terms of who is in debt and who is in credit  

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so there, that's what it is basically the £700  billion is the total amount of money given 

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out by the government above taxing, if the  government tax isn't spent that doesn't increase  

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private money holding it just moves around  but if the government prints and spends  

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or borrows and spends that does increase  money held in society and it then becomes  

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important especially if the amount of money is  enormous to understand who is getting that money  

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so I've said it many times before and I'll say it again £700 billion is £14,000 for every adult

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in the country so if the government has given that amount of money out  

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whether it's been printed or whether it's  been borrowed the distribution of wealth  

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and the distribution of money in society will  have changed enormously and it's important to  

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understand anyone who has not gotten £14,000  richer you have effectively gotten poorer because  

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other people have gotten richer um but yeah  that's it that is that is the number the number  

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we'll put a link in the description so people  can see that it's increasing government debt  

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um when the government gives it out somebody  gets it it's it's it's not complicated  

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um and if other people are getting it and not you  that will have social and economic consequences  

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which we'll go into in the next video um partly  it's funded by QE and that's nice and simple  

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because in that case it's brand new money partly  it's borrowed it's funded by borrowing but in that  

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case as well it increases money held in society  because if somebody borrows money and gives  

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it to you then you have more money um the next  couple of videos we're going to go through  

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I think the other couple of important things to  understand which is number one who actually did  

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get the money um we've covered it many times in  the channel but you know mainly in the first ever  

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video on the channel which is two and a half years  ago now so we probably we've got a lot of new  

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viewers you might have seen that so we'll cover  that quickly and then we'll go over basically what  

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are the economic consequences because I think the  way that that ripples through society is actually  

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really interesting but the main point of this  video what is the 700 billion pounds?

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it is the total government deficit since the beginning of covid, part of its printed, part of it's  

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borrowed but all of it increases cash holdings in  society it's enough to give 14 000 pounds to every  

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single adult if you don't have that, somebody has  that, we need to know who has it... okay that's it

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money currently is flowing from the  government to the rich leaving the  

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government with big powers of debt and  the rich would be part of money there's  

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one other thing they can do with that massive  amount of income they can buy your mom's house